It’s Friday, and that means it’s time for Chris Low’s SEC preview over at his ESPN.com blog.



Tennessee fans have been throwing a collective tantrum to get superstar Eric Berry on offense.  This week head coach Phillip Fulmer indicated Berry had a shoulder problem that limited his offensive snaps. 

Apparently, Berry also nixed the idea after suffering said injury on his only offensive snap against Alabama.



South Carolina head coach Steve Spurrier says redshirt freshman quarterback Stephen Garcia is taking a back seat to Chris Smelley… again.



Here’s Mr. Low’s SEC Viewer’s Guide for the weekend:

1. Ole Miss defensive tackle Peria Jerry is quietly putting together a dominant season.  Look for him to be a big factor in this weekend’s game with LSU.

2. The matchup between LSU’s offensive line and Ole Miss’ defensive line should be a good one.

3. Can Jevan Snead continue his hot streak against LSU?

4. Ole Miss tends to cough the football up at times.  LSU can’t force turnovers.  Something’s got to give.

5. Arkansas QB Casey Dick may miss this weekend’s game against Mississippi State with a concussion, but fear not Hog fans - you’ll still have a Dick lined up under center regardless.  Casey’s younger brother, freshman Nathan Dick, will get the nod if his brother is unable to play.

6. Arkansas defensive tackle Malcolm Sheppard is having a dominant season, but nobody seems to know who the guy is.

7. Mississippi State head coach Sylvester Croom could be playing for his job the next couple of weeks.

8. Can Tennessee’s defense bail out it’s putrid offense against Vanderbilt?  The unit has been outstanding this year, but the offense has proven to be too anemic to overcome.

9. Speaking of Vandy-UT, the Commodores might have more fans at the game in Nashville than Tennessee for the first time in recent memory.

10. How many points can Florida put up on the Citadel this weekend?  You know Urban Meyer won’t take his foot off the gas.



And finally, Mr. Low’s weekend forecast:

Ole Miss 28, LSU 24

Vanderbilt 17, Tennessee 14

Arkansas 24, Mississippi State 21

Florida 49, The Citadel 0

(Note: This week’s preview webcast had some technical difficulties, so here are the text answers to our usual weekend preview questions.)


Which team is facing the toughest challenge this week?

Ole Miss is facing a better team in LSU, but I’m going with Tennessee. The Vols are going to Vanderbilt, and I’m not sure if the team has recovered emotionally from the firing of their coach, Phillip Fulmer
           
They were uninspired in their embarrassing loss against Wyoming two weeks ago. UT’s offense, statistically, is one of the five worst in college football. They’re going back to Jonathan Crompton at QB; he was benched as a starter for six games. And they’re going against a Vanderbilt team that is now bowl eligible and should be more relaxed.
           
Vanderbilt’s defense is ranked among the top 40 in scoring defense, pass defense and total defense, as well as interceptions and sacks. Vandy has held four opponents to less than 250 total yards and Tennessee averages only 267.
           
Vandy has beaten Tennessee just once since 1982, but the Commodores are a 3-point favorite. Vanderbilt beat Tennessee in 2005 and missed another win last year when a last-second field goal attempt hit the upright. So Vandy comes in confident against a UT offense that lost its confidence weeks ago. Tennessee’s defense is tied with Florida for fewest touchdowns allowed (13) but UT’s offense has scored the fewest touchdowns (17) in the SEC and this is UT’s lowest scoring team since 1964. Tennessee hopes to win a 13th consecutive game in Nashville.
 


Which team or coach most needs a win this weekend?
           
Sly Croom at Mississippi State. The Bulldogs (3-7) host Arkansas (4-6) which is still hopeful of becoming bowl eligible. I don’t think State will fire Croom after he was named SEC Coach of the Year last year, but State has a new AD and he might not feel as much loyalty to Croom.

On the heels of an 8-win season, the Bulldogs have wins over Southeastern Louisiana, Vanderbilt and MTSU. The offense is horrible, ranking last in the SEC in scoring and 10th in rushing.

If Croom stays, he’ll probably have to fire his good friend, offensive coordinator Woody McCorvey. Croom might balk at that suggestion. Interestingly, State, which won several games by scoring defensive touchdowns last year, is the only SEC team this season without a defensive score.
 


Which team is the most ripe to be upset?

LSU against Ole Miss. This is a highly intense rivalry that LSU has dominated of late, winning six in a row and seven of eight. But four of those games were decided by 3 or fewer points.

Ole Miss is bowl eligible, happy about the direction of the season and might want this game more. LSU has lost 3 games and isn’t happy about this season after winning the SEC and the national title. It’s tough to stay hungry coming off a national title. It’s even harder when your goals for a season are gone.
           
Plus, LSU has had QB issues much of this season. Jarrett Lee has had 7 of his 15 interceptions returned for touchdowns. And the Tigers were lucky to pull out a 40-31 win over Troy after tailing 31-3 with two minutes left in the third quarter.

Rebel QB Jevan Snead is #3 in the SEC in passing efficiency and LSU’s pass defense (206.3 yards per game) ranks 10th in the SEC. On the other hand, Ole Miss’ pass defense is last in the SEC.

And this is a CBS game in Baton Rouge . LSU is 5-6 in its last 11 CBS games at home and has a losing record in day games at Tiger Stadium since 1960. LSU has not lost a November game in regulation since 2002. That could change this Saturday.
 


What are you most interested in seeing this weekend?

Will Tennessee finally play Eric Berry both ways? Coach Phillip Fulmer revealed this week that Berry has had a season-long shoulder injury that kept the star safety from playing offense, but now he’s fine.

Berry has expressed a desire to play offense, but he’s had just one snap all season. Vanderbilt has a talented 2-way player in DJ Moore, who had two touchdown catches and two interceptions against Kentucky.

Moore also returns punts and kickoffs and has five rushing attempts this season. Wouldn’t it be fun to see two of the SEC’s most dynamic athletes going both ways?


 
Do you agree with the top part of The MrSEC.com Power Poll?

1) Alabama
2) Florida
3) Georgia
4) LSU

If Alabama and Florida played, I’d be hard-pressed not to pick Florida. The Gators might be the hottest team in America.

But in a poll, you have to judge all the games, not the most recent games. And because Florida suffered a home loss to Ole Miss and Alabama is unbeaten, I rank the Crimson Tide over the Gators.

It’s Friday and that means it’s time for your weekly wrap of picks, predictions and prognostications.  And here they are…



Geoff Calkins of The Memphis Commercial-Appeal:

Tennessee 17, Vanderbilt 13 (last week he picked the Bye Week over UT)
LSU 28, Ole Miss 23
Mississippi State 17, Arkansas 16



Mike Strange of The Knoxville News Sentinel:

Vanderbilt 17, Tennessee 16
Florida 77, The Citadel 3
Arkansas 21, Mississippi State 16
LSU 35, Ole Miss 20



Tony Barnhart of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution:

Vanderbilt 17, Tennessee 14
LSU 24, Ole Miss 20
Florida 65, The Citadel 0



Pat Dooley of The Gainesville Sun:

Mississippi State 20, Arkansas 17
Vanderbilt 24, Tennessee 10
LSU 28, Ole Miss 16
Florida 49, The Citadel 10

We’ll start the day in Nashville as we often do (the papers in Tennessee post their stories earlier than anyone else in the conference):

The job that Bobby Johnson has done at Vanderbilt has gained him national attention and put his name on several schools’ coaching lists.  Johnson, however, said yesterday that he simply arrived at Vandy at a time when the administration began to emphasize football.  Maybe so, but that doesn’t take away from what Johnson has accomplished.

Vanderbilt would probably prefer to go bowling somewhere out of town, but reps from both the university and the Music City Bowl have said they would have no problem pairing up next month.  What a treat for long-suffering Vandy fans.  “Take a left at the Pancake Pantry and head downtown.”

With a healthy receiver corps, cornerback DJ Moore might not have to play as much offense as he did at Kentucky.  Of course, his two touchdowns against the Cats would have me looking for more ways to get him on offense.

The votes are in for our MrSEC.com Power Poll - presented by FootballSpeakers.com.

The voters in the poll are:

David Bazzell, former Arkansas linebacker

Chris Doering, former Florida receiver

Will Overstreet, former Tennessee defensive end

Tyler Watts, former Alabama quarterback

Stan White, former Auburn quarterback

Jimmy Hyams and John Pennington from this very website.



Check out how tight the races are for the best and worst slot in the conference.  One vote could flip-flop Alabama and Florida at the top… and Tennessee and Mississippi State continue to slug it out for “absolute worst” status.

Here’s the full poll (complete with the number of total votes in parenthesis…the lower the total, the better the tally):

1.  Alabama (10)
2.  Florida (11)
3.  Georgia (21)
4.  LSU (29)
5.  South Carolina (40)
6.  Ole Miss (41)
7.  Vanderbilt (45)
8.  Kentucky (55)
9.  Arkansas (64)
10.  Auburn (70)
11t.  Mississippi State (80)
11t.  Tennessee (80)

Alabama’s Nick Saban has been called a dictator and a devil.
           
Both are accurate. He has total control over his program and he’s a devil of a coach - and that’s a compliment.
           
Those are two reasons his team is 10-0 and ranked No. 1 in the nation.
           
LSU coach Les Miles allegedly called Saban the devil, although Miles denies saying that. Miles surely has been frustrated by so many people saying he’s won with Saban’s talent. He’ll be even more frustrated when Saban starts stealing recruits out of the Bayou State.
           
Saban is not all that popular as a coach. Maybe it’s his ability to recruit. Maybe it’s his $4 million salary. Maybe it’s his fast lane to success. He’s raising the bar for his colleagues, which can’t help his popularity.
           
When Florida coach Steve Spurrier was asked why, in four years, he hasn’t had nearly the success Saban is having in his second year at Alabama, Spurrier smirked: “Poor coaching, I guess.”
           
Saban has upped the time line for rebuilding a program. He inherited a team with mediocre talent and has them challenging for the national championship in Year Two.
           
He’s having what Georgia coach Mark Richt would call one of those “magical” second seasons.
           
Richt had one, leading Georgia to a 13-1 record and an SEC championship in his second season.
           
Meyer won the national title in his second season at Florida and went undefeated in his second year at Utah.
           
Gene Stallings went 11-1 in his second year at Alabama. Dennis Franchione won 10 games in his second year at the Capstone.
           
Ken Hatfield won 10 games in his second year at Arkansas.
           
Terry Bowden won his first 20 games at Auburn and Tommy Tuberville and Pat Dye won nine in their second season on the Plains.
           
Spurrier won 10 games and the SEC title his second year at Florida.
           
At LSU, Saban won the SEC in his second season and Les Miles won 11 games and the Sugar Bowl in his second season.
           
Lou Holtz went from 0-11 to 8-4 at South Carolina.
           
There is something special about second seasons for SEC coaches.
           
But nobody has done a more special job than Saban. Miles inherited more talent at LSU. And Meyer inherited much more talent at Florida.
           
As one Alabama fan told me: “I knew he was good, but I had no idea he was this good.”
           
Just one more reason for Saban’s coaching colleagues to dislike him.
             


LSU’s Season Not A Surprise            
           
It should come as no surprise that LSU has struggled to a 7-3 record and was unable to repeat as West Division champions.
           
That’s the norm, rather than the exception, for defending national champions.
           
Not since Nebraska in 1994-95 have we seen a team repeat as #1. And in the SEC, five of the last six national championships lost at least three games the next season.
           
Alabama won the national championship in 1992 but went 9-3-1 the next season and was forced to forfeit every win but one due to playing an ineligible player.          
           
Florida went 10-2 and finished second in the East after winning the title in 1996.
           
Tennessee went 9-3 and failed to win the East after taking the 1998 crown.
           
LSU won it all in 2003, then went 9-3 the next season.
           
Florida was the national champ in 2006, then went 9-4 with a Heisman Trophy winning quarterback.
           
It’s worth noting that Florida in 1997 and Tennessee in 1999 finished in the top 10 of the Associated Press poll. The other three were ranked in the top 20 and this year’s LSU team won’t crack the top 10.
           
Meyer has a good idea why last year’s Gators lost three SEC games and fell to Michigan in the Capital One Bowl.
           
“We had some entitlement issues with guys who had no impact on the national championship,” Meyer said. “We had a lot of confusion about work ethic and accountability.”
           
A lack of both proved harmful to Florida ’s efforts to repeat.
           
“I’m glad that issued has been cleared up,” Meyer said.
           
In essence, Florida wasn’t as hungry in 2007 as it was in 2006. That’s natural. A coach might not like it, but that’s human nature.
           
It’s hard to tell how much better LSU would be with deposed quarterback Ryan Perrilloux. He might have been the difference against a Georgia or an Alabama.
           
Then again, LSU might not have been as hungry.
           
Still, LSU could win more games this season than Saban did after his 2003 title.
           
That would at least give Les Miles one feather in his cap against Saban.
 


Georgia Defense Hard To Defend
 
A team many picked to finish #1 is #10 in the SEC in scoring defense. Georgia has allowed 23.8 points per game, with Alabama (41 points), LSU (38), Kentucky (38) and Florida (49) jacking up those numbers.
           
Georgia finished SEC play 6-2 but outscored opponents 215-214. The 214 points is the most allowed in SEC play although Kentucky, LSU and Arkansas could surpass that total. Kentucky (210) has one SEC game left, LSU (192) two and Arkansas (187) two.
           
Sometimes scoring defense can be misleading. For example, LSU quarterback Jarrett Lee has thrown seven interceptions that have been returned for touchdowns. Special teams scores can also skew actual numbers.
           
Perhaps a better barometer of defense is total yards allowed. Georgia ranks sixth in the SEC and 24th in the nation. No SEC team has allowed more touchdowns and the average yards per play against the Bulldogs is 5.0 — tied for eighth in the SEC.
           
By any standard, Georgia’s defense has been disappointing. But the Dawgs still have a chance to match last season’s 11-2 record. Last year’s team finished No. 2 in the nation. This year’s team won’t crack the top six.
           


Extra Points
           
Kentucky went from #1 in the nation in scoring defense to #36 in four weeks. The banged up Wildcats surrendered 63 to Florida, 42 to Georgia and 31 to Vanderbilt
           
South Carolina went from #1 in the SEC in total defense to #4 after giving up 520 yards to Florida.
           
LSU’s 37 points in the last 16.5 minutes against Troy was more than the Tigers had scored in six games.

While new clock rules have cut the average number of plays in an SEC game to about 135, LSU (80 snaps) and Troy (89) combined for 169 in a game that lasted 3 hours, 48 minutes and was not televised. The teams combined for 113 pass attempts and 58 incompletions.
          
Auburn (107), Tennessee (115) and Mississippi State (116) rank among the 12 lowest scoring teams in the nation. Six SEC teams rank 72 or lower. Only Florida is among the top 25.
           
South Carolina, Auburn, Kentucky, Mississippi State, Tennessee and Vanderbilt rank no higher than 96 in the nation in total offense. No SEC team ranks among the top 20.
           
Six SEC teams average more than 150 rushing yards per game and all are bowl eligible. Kentucky (eighth) and South Carolina (12th) are the two exceptions.
           
Four SEC teams rank in the top 10 in total defense and 11 rank among the top 41.
           
Only two SEC teams rank among the top 55 in pass offense. Seven SEC teams average less than 180 passing yards per game and rank no higher than 94th.
           
SEC teams have returned nine punts for touchdowns and five kickoffs for touchdowns.
            

Here are some tidbits and hot items from across the SEC landscape on this Thursday morning:

2008 has been The Year of The Interception in the Southeastern Conference.  There were 17 picks returned for touchdowns all last season by SEC teams (that includes bowl games).  Already, there have been 19 by SEC defensive backs. 

So, does that tell you that the SEC’s DBs are top notch?  Or does it have more to do with some ratty quarterback play in the league this year?  In my view, the corners and safeties are good, but I can’t ever remember a worse year for QBs in the SEC.  I’ll put it on bad signal-callers.



We mentioned this on the site last week, but here’s some more detail on how this year’s troubled economy might wipe out a few of the bowls from December’s overcrowded line-up in the future.



And Tony Barnhart of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution has some questions heading into this weekend’s action:

1)  Did anyone see the Will Muschamp thing coming at Texas?  (Muschamp, of course, played at Georgia and has coached at both Auburn and LSU.)

2)  What is the over/under on points for Florida versus The Citadel.

3)  Does Ole Miss have a shot at LSU?  (Absolutely.  Did anyone see LSU’s game with Troy last week?)

Here’s what’s making news in Music City, USA today:

The key to Vanderbilt’s success in 2008 has been it’s defense.  Four times this season Vandy has given up less than 250 yards in a game. 

Yeah, but this weekend they have to face Tennessee and quarterback Jonathan Crompton, who coaches feel is the answer to offensive coordinator Dave Clawson’s question: “What is the best way to win the football game?”  Vandy’s D plus Crompton and UT’s struggles… barring a complete Vol turnaround, this could be game #5 in which Vandy allows less than 250 yards.

This notes column reveals that Vanderbilt has entered a partnership with a sports travel company that will allow Commodore fans to get a quick jump on holiday plans, once Vandy’s bowl bid becomes a reality.

Just wanted to catch you up on some random notes/observations columns from around the South today.  Here are a few that kept my attention:

Mark McCarter of The Huntsville Times finds that the Big 12 and the SEC have a lot in common on and off the field.

Tony Barnhart of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution writes that the BCS is creating strange bedfellows in terms of who’ll be pulling for who in the weeks ahead.  And don’t rule out the “Doomsday” scenario for the BCS.

A Big 12 tie-breaker could ultimately decide who Bama/Florida will play in a potential BCS title game, and, therefore the national championship itself.

College football’s decision to put the BCS bowls on ESPN (cable) and not on an over-the-air network starting in 2011 could leave millions of fans out in the cold when it comes to dialing up the season’s biggest games.

Here are five things that SEC fans should be keeping an eye on in the weeks ahead.

The race for bowl games is heating up around the league… and there’s still no telling where most of the SEC’s teams will wind up.  But here are all the possibilities.

There’s lot of happy talk in and about Nashville today… and here it is:

It’s kind of sad when former players and supporters of the program believe a 6-6 team might be the best in program history.  But considering Vandy’s history, many folks believe that this might be the Commodores’ best squad.  Beat Tennessee and Wake Forest and there will be no doubt.

This notes column reveals that quarterback Chris Nickson is closing in on a school rushing record, receiver Jamie Graham will likely play against Tennessee, and 2,000 tickets have become available to Saturday’s game.  Can you say “returned tickets” from UT?

Vandy corner DJ Moore and Tennessee safety Eric Berry have more in common than the simple fact that they’re among the nation’s best defensive backs.  “They’re not afraid to go after the ball and you’d better watch ‘em,” said Bobby Johnson.

Pat Forde of ESPN.com urges Vandy fans to “put down the textbooks and live it up.” 

Tony Barnhart of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution doesn’t think the President of the United States or anyone else can bring about a college football playoff.

With ESPN about to grab the BCS bowls away from Fox Sports, television contracts alone will push a potential playoff system past the 2013 season.  That’s a long way off… and most conference commissioners and presidents are still against even a plus-one format, much less an eight-team playoff.

I like Barack Obama’s idea for a playoff, though I’d go with four teams rather than eight.  But from watching his grin at the end of his playoff statement to “60 Minutes” (”I’m gonna throw my weight around”), I really don’t think he’s going to try to push anything like this.

The guy’s a football fan and like most of us, he wants to see a champion crowned on the field.

But it’s not going to happen.  Regardless of what you, me, the new President or Tony Barnhart might want.

And that will continue to suck.  But hey, at least we’ve got 34 bowls and too few winning teams to fill them.  That’s still fun, isn’t it?

One-liners from Nashville, where the Commodores are thinking six wins is good, but eight would be better:

With Tennessee struggling at 3-7 and Wake Forest losing three of their last five (6-4 overall), there’s no reason Vandy can’t actually win eight games, just as they did in 1982… the last time the program went bowling.

Bobby Johnson, who’s coached in college playoffs at Furman, has never coached in a bowl game before, much less lined up the practice/travel details.  (This notes column also says that Johnson is holding his cards with regards to which quarterback will start against Tennessee.)

What kind of job has Johnson done at Vandy?  This year’s senior class has won 20 games (with two more to go)… and that’s the most by a Vandy senior class since the 1972-75 teams won 22 games.

Whether he gets one or not… whether he wants one or not… Johnson has earned the opportunity to coach at bigger BCS school.  But who knows?  He might just like being a hero at Vanderbilt.

We’ll start the day with the latest from the SEC’s official site:

Here’s the full list of the SEC’s Players Of The Week, which includes Florida’s Percy Harvin and Vandy’s DJ Moore taking home the offensive and defensive awards.

Yes, but who won the O-lineman, D-lineman, special teams, and freshman honors?  Well, you’ll just have to click the above link, won’t you?

As for next week’s television schedule, here she is:


Friday, November 28th

Mississippi State at Ole Miss - 12:30pm EST, Raycom

LSU at Arkansas - 2:30pm EST, CBS

As you might have noticed, this will present a major headache for local television affiliates that are both CBS stations and Raycom affiliates.


Saturday, November 29th

Georgia Tech at Georgia - 12:00pm EST, CBS

South Carolina at Clemson - 12:00pm or 3:30pm EST, ABC or ESPN family or Raycom

Auburn at Alabama - 3:30pm EST, CBS

Kentucky at Tennessee - 6:30pm EST / ESPN2

Vanderbilt at Wake Forest - 7:00pm EST / ESPNU

Florida at Florida State - 3:30pm or 7:45pm or 8:00pm EST, ABC or ESPN family

Crucial Penalty Doesn’t Cost Vandy

During the middle of the fourth quarter, Vanderbilt was nursing a 14-point lead at Kentucky when quarterback Chris Nickson ripped through the secondary for more than 30 yards.
           
It would be an historic run. It would put Vandy in field goal range for a game-clinching score. It would mark the first time since 1982 the Commodores would be bowl eligible. It would snap a streak of 17 consecutive losses in bowl-eligible games.
           
Alas, Vandy was called for holding on Nickson’s brilliant run, wiping out the first down, the field position, the probable score and leaving in doubt the outcome.
           
Wasn’t that just typical Vanderbilt - snatching defeat from the jaws of victory and causing Bobby Johnson to anguish once again about being so close, but no cigar.
           
Kentucky quickly scored to cut the margin to seven points, then got the ball back and was driving inside the Vandy 30 when cornerback DJ Moore made a terrific interception on a fourth-down slant play with two minutes left.
           
Vanderbilt’s Johnson got a Gatorade shower.
           
Vanderbilt’s program got a gorilla off its back.
           
There is still a chance Vanderbilt won’t get a bowl bid. The SEC has nine bowl tie-ins. Eight SEC teams are now bowl eligible. Auburn has to beat Alabama to become bowl eligible and Arkansas must beat Mississippi State and LSU to become bowl eligible. If either fails, Vandy is in. And if Florida and Alabama get BCS bowl berths, Vandy is in.
           
Vanderbilt wouldn’t have beaten Kentucky if Johnson hadn’t thrown caution to the wind and played Moore all over the field. The senior had never caught a pass at Vanderbilt, yet caught two for touchdowns in the first quarter. He also intercepted two passes and returned punts.
           
Moore’s yeoman effort is one reason Vandy will be practicing during the Christmas holidays for the first time in 26 years.
           
Vandy (4-3) is also a win over Tennessee away from tying the school record for most SEC wins in a season, set in 1935.
             


Gators Ring Up 50 Points On Former Coach
 
CBS analyst Gary Danielson said during the Florida-South Carolina game that Gamecocks coach Steve Spurrier wouldn’t respect Urban Meyer if Meyer had a chance to hang 50 on USC but didn’t.
           
Spurrier certainly did it as Florida’s coach. He liked to run it up and rub it in.
           
Spurrier got a taste of his medicine at The Swamp, as Meyer put 56 on the #1 defense in the SEC. Of course, not all 56 came against USC’s defense. The Gators returned an interception for a touchdown, recovered a lateral on a kickoff at the USC one-foot line, and got 10 more points off special teams play or USC turnovers.
           
Florida made a case for being the nation’s best team, even though the Gators have one loss. Since falling to Ole Miss, Florida has averaged over 50 points against the next six opponents — three of them ranked. In a 19-quarter stretch, the offense had scored a touchdown on 34 of 54 possessions (discounting two at the end of the half). That’s remarkable efficiency.
           
And Florida’s much improved defense has forced more punts (33) than points allowed (26) in the first half. The Gators have outscored opponents 227-26 in the first two quarters and they’ve scored eight non-offensive touchdowns.
           
No wonder Spurrier thinks these Gators are better than the 2006 version, which needed to block a late field goal to hang on against the Gamecocks.
           
By the way, Spurrier has a winning record against every SEC team except his alma mater. He’s 1-3 against the Gators.
 


Tebow In Running For Heisman
 
Winning the Heisman Trophy has become a numbers game.
           
You’ve got to be on the #1 team, or be the #1 rusher or the #1 passer or the first guy to have 20 touchdown passes and 20 touchdown rushes in the same season - like Florida ’s Tim Tebow last year.
           
Tebow accounted for 55 touchdowns last season. He won’t account for that many this year. He might not get to 40. But he’s just as good a quarterback this season as last, if not better.
           
Because he’s such a running threat, he makes Florida run game go. And he’s become a better pocket passer, having completed right at 70 percent of his throws over the last six games.
           
Tebow will be on my Heisman ballot again this year, but I’m not sure I’ll put him first again.
           
While Tebow has had a terrific season, Texas Tech’s Graham Harrell has been off the charts. He has completed 71.7 percent of his passes for 4,077 yards and 36 touchdowns with just five interceptions for his second-ranked team (9-0). Harrell has been at his best against three ranked teams the Red Raiders defeated - Kansas, Texas and Oklahoma State.
           
How Harrell plays against Oklahoma this Saturday could define whether he wins the Heisman.
           
Some would argue that Harrell faces softer defenses in the Big 12 than Tebow faces in the SEC.
           
There may be some truth to that, but folks, SEC defenses aren’t all that good this year. Their national defensive numbers are a product of poor SEC offenses and poor non-conference opponents. And look at how West Virginia, Georgia Tech, Tulsa, Texas and Troy sliced up some SEC defenses.
           
By the way, it was interesting to hear CBS report that Tebow spent time with Spurrier at the Heisman Trophy ceremonies and the Dave O’Brien banquet and said he could never play for Spurrier. No explanation was given.
      

               
Extra Points

Florida’s Percy Harvin has scored a touchdown in 12 consecutive games, one shy of the active streak of 13 held by Texas Tech’s Michael Crabtree.

LSU quarterback Jarrett Lee has throw seven interceptions this season that have been returned for a touchdown. If that’s not a national record, it’s got to be close.

Kentucky true freshman quarterback Randall Cobb did about all he could against Vanderbilt, passing for 144 yards, rushing for 71 and returning punts. He’s one of the top three freshmen in the SEC this season.

Spurrier said Kenny McKinley is one of the best receivers he’s ever coached, putting him up there with Reidel Anthony, Jacquez Green, Ike Hilliard, Chris Doering and Clarkston Hines. McKinley is USC’s all-time leader in receptions, receiving yards and consecutive games with a catch.

How about this one: Ole Miss, Vanderbilt and Kentucky are bowl eligible but Tennessee and Auburn are not.  
 
 
 
My MrSEC.com Power Poll Ballot

1. Alabama
2. Florida
3. Georgia
4. LSU
5. South Carolina
6. Ole Miss
7. Vanderbilt
8. Kentucky
9. Auburn
10. Arkansas
11. Tennessee
12. Miss State

Tony Barnhart of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution puts forth his weekly observations on the SEC’s latest action:

1)  With all due respect to Alabama and Texas Tech, Florida is definitely the best team in the country.

2)  The Alabama-Florida match-up in Atlanta is the toughest SEC Championship Game ticket ever.

3)  Unless Georgia has an attitude adjustment, it will lose to Georgia Tech.

4)  “Blackout” games are probably done for good after Georgia and Florida State have been beaten in black unis this year. 

Why the Hell did FSU have the word “UNCONQUERED” written on their pant leg, by the way?  That’s just stupid. 

And I certainly hope Nike doesn’t start pimping that crap to all the other schools in the country… though I know that they will. 

Click the headline for a better view of this silliness.

After 25 seasons without a bowl bid, Vanderbilt won their sixth game on Saturday and locked up a postseason bid for the first time since 1982.

With two games remaining, the Commodores could actually still finish 8-4 if they beat Tennessee and Wake Forest.

The only questions now are these: which bowl will Vanderbilt go to and will Bobby Johnson be able to parlay the job he’s done at Vandy into a bigger profile job (say… Clemson)?

I’ve thought it will take an 8-win season for a fanbase to truly appreciate the hiring of a Vanderbilt coach.  If Johnson can wrap up eight and do it by beating a team that knocked off Clemson earlier in the year, I think the Tiger alum might actually get some serious consideration for that job.  Otherwise, it’s just too hard to convince fans that it’s a good move to grab a guy from Nashville.  Call it “the Gerry DiNardo factor.”

As for the other question, The Tennessean looks at the possible bowl destinations for Johnson’s team.  Here’s hoping the Commodores are rewarded by being sent somewhere other than the hometown Music City Bowl. 

After 25 years, it would be nice for them to be able to leave Middle Tennessee for the holidays.

After an amazing game at Kentucky, cornerback/receiver/returner DJ Moore has been named the national Defensive Player Of The Week by the Walter Camp Football Foundation.  But that might not be it for his honors.

“He had a fair game,” joked Johnson.  “We didn’t know whether to nominate him for SEC Offensive or Defensive Player Of The Week, but maybe he could be both.”

Stop me if you’ve heard this one before: Vanderbilt needs one more victory to become bowl eligible for the first time since 1982.  That broken record keeps playing because…well…Vandy keeps losing.  The Commodores haven’t walked off the field as winners since the first weekend of October.

Other than last week’s blowout loss to Florida, Vandy has had their chances; a couple of three-point losses to Mississippi State and Duke and a ten-point defeat down at Georgia that was closer than the final score indicated. It was a seven-point game with less than a minute to play.

Today, they’ll have their shot in Lexington against a Kentucky team with a vastly better defense than a year ago.

Kentucky is giving up 9.5 less points, 10.2 fewer passing yards, 62.5 fewer rushing yards and 72.7 fewer total yards than last season’s team.

“I think their front four is one of the best we’ve seen,” Vandy offensive coordinator Ted Cain said. “They have very good size and they’re mobile, and they get off blocks very well. They present a lot of problems for us.”

Kentucky will battle the Commodores and the elements tonight.  Gametime temps are expected to be in the ’30’s with wind, rain and maybe even snow in the mix.

“I think this game should be very interesting,” UK Coach Rich Brooks said. “It’s looking like the weather will be a major factor, and with the cold, wet and rain, you’d expect it to have an impact on the game.”

Perhaps anticipating the weather effect, oddsmakers have the total for this one at 37 1/2 to 38 points.  Kentucky is a four-point favorite.

We know you want the picks and predictions, forecasts and prognostications… and here they are:



Geoff Calkins of The Memphis Commercial-Appeal:

Alabama 30, Mississippi State 6
Ole Miss 35, La-Monroe 9
Kentucky 23, Vanderbilt 10
Bye 13, Tennessee 7



Pat Dooley of The Gainesville Sun:

Florida 42, South Carolina 20
Georgia 31, Auburn 13
Kentucky 28, Vanderbilt 17
Alabama 30, Mississippi State 13



Tony Barnhart of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution:

Georgia 24, Auburn 7
Florida 28, South Carolina 21
Alabama 27, Mississippi State 14
Kentucky 24, Vanderbilt 17



Mike Strange of The Knoxville News Sentinel:

Alabama 35, Mississippi State 7
Georgia 24, Auburn 10
Florida 31, South Carolina 6
Kentucky 28, Vanderbilt 17
Ole Miss 30, La-Monroe 13
LSU 38, Troy 20

Here’s your preview of SEC action this weekend from myself and our Ace Reporter, Jimmy Hyams.

Step into The MrSEC Lounge to find out which team most needs a win, which team is most ripe for an upset and which team deserves to be ranked #1 in the SEC.

The story in Nashville is pretty simple: Vandy is struggling (again) to become bowl eligible.  All they have to do is beat Kentucky tomorrow to pull off the feat.

But…

The Commodores have had no luck in recent Novembers.  When asked why, Bobby Johnson tersely said, “Probably the people we play.”  Check this out: 0-4 in 2007, 0-3 in 2006, 1-2 in 2005, 0-3 in 2004… well, you get the picture.

Also, Kentucky has won their last four meetings with Vandy, despite being outgained by an average of 85 yards in those contests.  Oh, and here’s one more bad omen for the ‘Dores: Vandy is 0-7 all-time on ESPN2, where the game will be televised this weekend.

Who’s The Better Coach: Spurrier Or Meyer?

When Florida hosts South Carolina this Saturday, the Gators will be positioning for a shot at a national championship. The Gamecocks will be positioning for a shot at a better bowl game.
           
That’s the difference in the two programs.
           
Florida one won four consecutive SEC Championships in the 1990s.
           
South Carolina has won four bowl games since 1892.
           
When you analyze these teams today, you might ask: Who has the better coach? Is it Urban Meyer? Or Steve Spurrier?
           
No doubt, Meyer has several built-in advantages, not the least of which he has one of the elite coaching jobs in the country. The Meyer resume: 17-6 at Bowling Green, 12-0 and a BCS bowl win at Utah, a national championship at Florida.
           
The Spurrier resume: six SEC Championships but none since 2000, an ACC title at Duke, a school-record 28 wins in his first four years at South Carolina .
           
What Meyer did at Utah matches what Spurrier did at Duke. Meyer has not sustained success at a school the way Spurrier did at Florida, but Meyer might be on his way at Florida.
           
I judge a coach based more on what he did in recent years, not the past 20. For example, Bobby Bowden isn’t as good a coach now as he was 10 years ago. Neither is Joe Paterno. And neither is Spurrier.
           
Some say this is one of Spurrier’s best coaching jobs. I disagree. South Carolina has won seven games because of its defense, not Spurrier’s offense. It was Spurrier who messed up the offense by starting Tommy Beecher, then Chris Smelley, then Stephen Garcia.
           
Meyer has adjusted well to the rigors of the SEC. He has tweaked his offense. He has conquered his rivals. He has motivated his players. He can beat you with an explosive offense or skilled special teams. And he’s in position to challenge for a second national title in three years.
           
Because of the difference in programs, I’d say winning eight games at South Carolina rivals winning the SEC at Florida. But winning the SEC is still tougher.
           
Meyer is in position to do that now. And now, he’s the better coach.
 


Is Saban Worth $4 Million Per Year?

Has Alabama coach Nick Saban been worth his $4 million average salary over eight years?
           
It’s hard to justify salaries. Is Alex Rodriguez worth $25 million to the New York Yankees? Is Tom Brady worth $18 million to the New England Patriots? Is Kobe Bryant worthy of a $116 million contract?
           
If those players bring in that much revenue to their team, the answer is yes. But how do you determine that revenue boost?
           
At Alabama, it’s simpler. You look at ticket revenues, donations, souvenir and concession sales. You might also look at national publicity, a #1 ranking and possible BCS bowl revenue.
           
Maybe even bragging rights. How do you put a price tag on bragging rights? How do you measure the worth of beating Clemson and Georgia and LSU? And maybe Auburn for the first time in seven years?
           
Without knowing exactly what the additional revenues are at Alabama since Saban took over, my answer to the Saban question is a resounding “yes.”
           
To take a team with mediocre talent in his first season and be 10-0 and #1 in his second season is a remarkable coaching job - probably the best in the nation. Certainly the best in the SEC.
           
If Saban wins a national title at a second SEC school that he has had to rebuild, it would be hard to argue that there’s a better coach in the country than Nick Saban.
 


Was The Loss To Alabama The Beginning Of The End For Miles?
 
In his first two years at LSU, Les Miles won a national championship, an SEC title and 34 games - not to mention three bowl games in decisive fashion.
           
He deserves credit for what he achieved, even if he did so with Saban’s talent.
           
This season, Miles has most of his recruits. He also has three losses. He’s played three teams currently ranked in the top 20 and didn’t beat any of them. Florida and Georgia outplayed the Tigers, but Miles let one get away against Alabama.
           
Was the Alabama defeat the beginning of the end for Miles?
            
First off, until 2000, LSU had just 10-win seasons in history. LSU has a strong tradition, but it doesn’t match Alabama’s.
           
Secondly, it’s unreasonable to expect Miles or any LSU coach - Saban included - to average over 11 wins a year. Saban averaged 10 in his last four years at LSU
            
Miles has recruited well at LSU. He fell victim this season to being caught without a quarterback after the dismissal of Ryan Perrilloux.
           
LSU will probably go 9-3 prior to playing in a bowl. If LSU wins the bowl, it would mark Miles’ fourth straight season with 10 wins. Miles happens to be the only LSU coach in history to win 10 in back-to-back seasons.
           
Miles’ second three seasons won’t be nearly as successful as his first three. He’ll go from 34 wins to about 28. In the process, he will be criticized for going on fourth down, for throwing a pass with one second left on the clock, for wearing his hat too high on his head.
           
That’s what happens when you win too many games too soon - with someone else’s talent.
           
Miles can have several more 10-win seasons at LSU, but he better not lose three or four in a row to Saban or the seat in Baton Rouge will be hotter than Tabasco sauce.
 


Will Vanderbilt Become Bowl Eligible?
 
The pressure is building at Vanderbilt.
           
After a 5-0 start, the Commodores would surely make it to a bowl game for the first time since 1982.  Wouldn’t they?
           
Not so fast, my friend.
           
A close loss at Mississippi State and a stunning loss to Duke have created doubts. Now 5-4, Vandy has just three more chances to become bowl eligible: at Kentucky, Tennessee and at Wake Forest .
           
In the past 12 years, Vanderbilt has not won two games in a season in the month of November.
           
Why?
           
“Probably the people we play,” was the short answer from coach Bobby Johnson.
           
Vanderbilt and Kentucky are about even in talent. The x-factor for the Wildcats is true freshman quarterback Randall Cobb, who had 187 total yards against Georgia and scored three touchdowns in a 42-38 loss.
           
Johnson is impressed by Cobb, who has played receiver, punt returner and quarterback for the Wildcats.
           
“It looks like he’s played quarterback the last three years,” Johnson said. “He looks real comfortable.”
           
Cobb has shown an ability to pass, scramble and run the option. He might be the main man in the way of Vanderbilt becoming bowl eligible.
 


Extra Points

Spurrier said his defensive coordinator Ellis Johnson gets a bonus if the Gamecocks finish in the top six in the SEC in total defense. The Gamecocks are ranked No. 1 going into the Florida game.

The Disappointment Bowl this weekend matches Georgia (8-2) against Auburn (5-5).

Auburn coach Tommy Tuberville might have to beat Georgia or Alabama to save his job, although a $6 million buyout to be paid over 366 days might be a tough pill for the Tigers to swallow.

Meyer said he does extensive background checks on recruits before signing them and he’s rejected some for misbehaving: “I’m not saying I’m getting too old for that but I’m not going to put up with it anymore.”
   

Did you know that Vanderbilt has lost 17 consecutive games in which they were trying to attain bowl eligibility?

Did you know Vandy hasn’t won two games in the month of November in 12 years?

Travis Haney of The Charleston Post and Courier has more on Vanderbilt, plus why he thinks Tommy Tuberville is getting a raw deal at Auburn.



Meanwhile, Tony Barnhart of the AJC asks four questions regarding the upcoming slate of SEC games:

1)  Can Steve Spurrier keep South Carolina close?

2)  Does Auburn have one good game in them?

3)  Will Alabama come out flat against Mississippi State?

4)  Can Vanderbilt FINALLY become bowl eligible?  (See the stats above and the answer looks to be “no.”)

You bet they are.

For one, there may not be enough 6-win teams to fill the (ridiculous) 68 bowl slots available.

And two, if the stadiums are half empty in Boise, Shreveport and Detroit in a normal economy, how are things going to shape up in a terrible economy?

“The fact we’re even talking about that shows the system is flawed and we have to correct it.  It’s not a healthy business model for us,” said Scott Ramsey, executive director of the Music City Bowl and past president of the Football Bowls Association.

Our Ace Reporter will be chiming in on this in the days ahead, but let me be the first to predict a decrease in the number of bowls for 2009.

Here’s what’s making news in Nashville this morning:

The Commodores face Kentucky this weekend.  And when you talk about Kentucky, you talk about true freshman quarterback Randall Cobb.  “What impresses me is they’ve been using him at quarterback and receiver, but the last couple of games, he’s come in at quarterback and looks like he’s been playing it for three years,” Bobby Johnson said.

You might see a lot of scrambling from Cobb on Saturday.  According to this notes column, Vandy is leading the SEC in sacks and ranks 12th nationally.  (Of course, Kentucky ranks 13th in the nation in sacks.)

The votes are in for our MrSEC.com Power Poll - presented by FootballSpeakers.com.

The voters in the poll are:

David Bazzell, former Arkansas linebacker

Chris Doering, former Florida receiver

Will Overstreet, former Tennessee defensive end

Tyler Watts, former Alabama quarterback

Stan White, former Auburn quarterback

Jimmy Hyams and John Pennington from this very website.



A few moves on the bottom half of our poll this week.  Here’s the full poll (complete with the number of total votes in parenthesis…
the lower the total, the better the tally):

1.  Alabama (9)

2.  Florida (12)

3.  Georgia (22)

4.  LSU (30) - lost a vote to South Carolina this week

5.  South Carolina (33)

6.  Kentucky (45) - jumped Ole Miss following their 42-38 loss to Georgia

7.  Ole Miss (48)

8.  Vanderbilt (56)

9.  Arkansas (61)

10.  Auburn (70)

11 tie.  Mississippi State (80)

11 tie.  Tennessee (80) - loss to Wyoming on homecoming dropped the Vols into a last place tie with the Bulldogs

The AJC’s Tony Barnhart, aka Mr. College Football, has five more opinions on the SEC for you… and you can click these pretty red words to read this views in detail:

1)  Tim Tebow deserves a strong look for the Heisman Trophy.

2)  Auburn needs to make a decision on Tommy Tuberville’s future before the Iron Bowl.

3)  Phillip Fulmer would be a good fit at Clemson.

4)  Tommy Tuberville would also be a good fit at Clemson.

5)  Mike Leach is not a good fit at Tennessee.

Here’s are the top stories in Nashville today:

As usual, Vandy is feeling pressure to win that magical sixth game of the season.  After starting 5-0, the Commodores now have three chances (against Kentucky, Tennessee and Wake Forest) to seal up their first bowl invite since 1982.  “I think our guys realize we’ve got three tough games, but we look at it as three opportunities,” Bobby Johnson said.

Starting quarterback Mackenzi Adams, who suffered a hip pointer against Florida, was able to practice yesterday and claims he’s good to go for UK this weekend.  (If he does play, he might be without receiver Jamie Graham.)

Johnson is hoping for rain at practice today.  He believes bad weather will help the ‘Dores prepare for this weekend’s game.  The forecast for Saturday in Lexington is a mix of rain and snow driven by heavy winds and a temperature right around freezing.

Vandy is trying to quickly put last week’s beatdown by Florida behind them.

It’s Tuesday, which means it’s time for Chris Low’s weekend assessments over at his ESPN.com blog:

Have a helmet sticker.  You earned it:

1. Rashad Johnson, safety, Alabama

2. Tim Tebow, quarterback, Florida

3. Kenny McKinley, wide receiver, South Carolina

4. Demarcus Cobb, defensive end, Georgia

5. Julio Jones, receiver, Alabama



Mr. Low’s observations from Week 11:

1. Florida and Alabama now control their own destinies in terms of reaching the BCS title game.

2. Florida is destroying people at the moment.

3. Alabama proved they can play from behind.

4. Georgia’s defense is underachieving.

5. Tennessee has thrown in the towel.



Mr. Low’s outstanding players from Week 11:

Offense: Tim Tebow, quarterback, Florida

Defense: Rashad Johnson, safety, Alabama

Special Teams: Tristan Davis, running back, Auburn

Coach: Urban Meyer, Florida



And finally, Mr. Low’s updated SEC Power Rankings:

1. Alabama

2. Florida

3. Georgia

4. LSU

5. S