March 1st, 2013 10:30 AM║ Posted By: John Pennington ║ Permalink
║ Schools: Alabama, Arkansas, Auburn, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, LSU, Mississippi State, Missouri, Ole Miss, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas A&M, Vanderbilt
Tags: Ole Miss, RPI, SEC, UK
Seventeen days from today — on St. Patrick’s Day — the SEC Tournament champion will be crowned and the NCAA Tournament field will be set and seeded. When it comes to the league tourney, everyone’s got a shot to cut down the nets and guarantee themselves a little March Madness.
That’s the dream anyway. Georgia lived it in 2008. The Bulldogs entered the tourney with a 13-16 record (4-12 in the SEC). They managed to survive a tornado at the Georgia Dome, a pair of overtime thrillers, and having to play two games in one day to win the whole darn mess and secure an NCAA tourney berth.
Perhaps someone can find a little luck this year, too. As we said, the tourney ends on St. Patrick’s Day.
But barring miracles and luck in Nashville, the SEC is chugging toward Selection Sunday with just six teams still in the mix. And that’s being generous. Very generous. Below are those six squads, their resumes, and what they still have left on their schedules.
Please remember that with 31 automatic bids being handed out, only 37 at-large bids exist. So that RPI had better look pretty good come the third Sunday in March.
|Vs Div I||22-5||20-8||20-8||17-10||21-7||18-9|
|Vs RPI 1-50||5-3||3-4||1-4||3-4||1-4||1-2|
|Vs RPI 51-100||6-2||4-4||5-4||5-5||4-2||6-3|
|Vs RPI 200+||7-0||10-0||10-0||5-0||10-1||6-1|
|Vs Non-Conf (Away)||4-2||3-2||1-3||2-3||3-2||3-2|
|Avg RPI Win||127.7||164.4||161.3||142.3||173.9||150.2|
|Avg RPI Loss||42.8||53.2||40.2||56.8||68.1||101.0|
|Devastating Losses||None||None||None||None||@USC 202||@AUB 218|
|This Weekend||ALA 63||LSU 92||@ARK 89||@UGA 143||@MSU 238||@UF 5|
|Midweek||VU 132||ARK 89||@UGA 143||@AUB 218||ALA 63||@UM 55|
|Final Weekend||@UK 50||@UT 53||UF 5||MU 36||@LSU 17-9||UGA 143|
|Current Streak||Lost 1||Won 1||Won 3||Won 6||Won 2||Won 1|
After five years of correctly predicting the SEC’s number of NCAA tourney bids, we’ve come to realize that it’s all about the math. Yes, SEC bubble teams have to pray Cinderellas in other leagues don’t win their leagues. And, sure, there are rare exceptions to the usual math-based rules. But there’s a reason so many people can come close to predicting the exact field every year — the selection process is math driven.
Keep reading for some interesting facts on just how math-based-centric the process really is…
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