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Kentucky vs. Connecticut: A Brief Look At The Game

Kentucky
Content provided by A Sea Of Blue.

Who will guard Brandon Knight tonight?  He could foul Kemba Walker out.

Eugene Tanner – AP

Who will guard Brandon Knight tonight? He could foul Kemba Walker out.

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I’m getting ready to head to Las Vegas for Turkey Day, and as a result, I haven’t been able to spend any time on the blog today.  But we need a quick preview of this game, although it will not be the full-blown affair we normally do.

How UConn Got Here

In the first game of the Maui Classic, the Connecticut Huskies defeated the Wichita St. Shockers by four points.  The Shockers out-shot the Huskies 56%-47% (eFG), but they turned the ball over more and allowed UConn an amazing 81% Free Throw Rate%.  That means for every ten shots the Huskies put up, they shot eight free throws.  UConn shot 73% from the line, and that was really where they were able to win the game.  Kemba Walker put up 31 points and shot a ridiculous 93% from the line, making 14 of 15 attempts.

Last night, the Huskies took on the #2 ranked Michigan St. Spartans.  This game looks much more normal, with the Huskies slightly outshooting the Spartans.  Once again, FTR% was a factor at 39-35%, but UConn shot them relatively poorly.  In the end, it was the Spartans’ turnovers that doomed them.

UConn Personnel


Connecticut Huskies Basketball Roster

# Pos./Start? Comments W H College
Kyle Bailey 55 G Sat out last season 170 6-3 junior
Donnell Beverly 2 G Returning – minor reserve last year 190 6-4 senior
Michael Bradley 25 C New 235 6-10 freshman
Jamal Coombs-McDaniel 4 F Returning – reserve last year 210 6-7 sophomore
Niels Giffey 5 G/Y New 210 6-7 freshman
Jeremy Lamb 3 G/Y New 185 6-5 freshman
Shabazz Napier 13 G New 170 6-0 freshman
Charles Okwandu 35 C Returning – minor reserve last year 255 7-0 senior
Tyler Olander 10 F New 225 6-9 freshman
Alex Oriakhi 34 F/Y Returning major reserve 240 6-9 sophomore
Roscoe Smith 22 G New 205 6-8 freshman
Kemba Walker 15 G/Y Returning starter, prime-time player 172 6-1 junior

As you can see, UConn is playing a four-guard starting lineup this year, although Niles Giffey could accurately be described as a small forward rather than a guard.  UConn is very much like Kentucky in that they had to replace a large number of players from last year’s team, and start two freshmen.

Prime time performers:  Kemba Walker (scoring, assists), Alex Oriakhi (rebounds, blocks), Roscoe Smith (3-point shooting, rebounding).

Kentucky vs. UConn — The Four Factors

 

As you can see by looking at the graph above, UConn has been a better offensive rebounding team and Kentucky the better shooting team.  Both teams take good care of the ball, and both teams get to the line a lot.  Ultimately, this game looks close in the stats, and the line is UK -5.5.

Overall Analysis

Like the Washington game, this game is all about defense, and is going to be primarily a test of wills between Kemba Walker and DeAndre Liggins.  If Liggins can keep Walker under around 20 points and everyone else plays their normal game, UConn is in tough.  Walker represents 38% of UConn’s scoring, and only one other player is averaging double-digits.

UConn can also win this game by holding Kentucky to under 40% FG shooting, or if UK continues to struggle from the free throw line.  Execution is important for this young Wildcat team, and if they execute the offense and surround Walker or force him to get in foul trouble, Kentucky should be able to win.

UConn plays a lot of players, and likes to run up and down the floor like UK does.  I am a bit concerned about the Wildcats having played such a tough, fast, physical game last night, because they will largely need to duplicate that effort tonight.  But UConn also played a tough, physical game against Michigan St., so I suppose that is a wash.

The big question is, who will guard Brandon Knight?  Whoever it is will likely wind up in foul trouble, and Walker will likely be forced to guard Liggins — not exactly a bargain either, given the size difference.

Go, ‘Cats


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South Carolina Falls to No. 2 Michigan St., 82-73

Durrell Summers had 22 points, Draymond Green scored 18 and Delvon Roe added 15, helping No. 2 Michigan State hold off South Carolina for an 82-73 win Tuesday night. The Spartans (2-0) led 42-25 at halftime, but had the lead cut to single digits early in the second half and couldn’t pull away because they made too many turnovers and gave up a lot of 3-pointers. Freshman Bruce Ellington made a shot from beyond the arc that pulled the Gamecocks (1-1) within six points with 2:13 left to play, but they couldn’t get closer.
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Your ESPN college hoops marathon TV schedule

Kentucky
Content provided by John Clay’s Sidelines.

At the conclusion of Monday Night Football, the World Wide Leader’s college hoops marathon starts on the family network.

(College basketball is one thing that ESPN does very, very well.)

ESPN.com will also have an ongoing liveblog.

Here is the schedule:

  • Midnight Miami at Memphis ESPN
  • 2 a.m. St. John’s at St. Mary’s ESPN
  • 4 a.m. Central Michigan at Hawaii ESPN
  • 6 a.m. Stony Brook at Monmouth ESPN
  • 8 a.m. Robert Morris at Kent State ESPN
  • 10 a.m. Northeastern at So. Illinois ESPN
  • Noon Oral Roberts at Tulsa ESPN
  • 2 p.m. La Salle at Baylor ESPN
  • 4 p.m. Virginia Tech at Kansas State ESPN
  • 5:30 p.m. Marist at Villanova ESPNU
  • 6 p.m. Ohio State at Florida ESPN
  • 6 p.m. Baylor at Connecticut (women) ESPN2
  • 7:30 p.m. Miami (Ohio) at Duke ESPNU
  • 8 p.m. Butler at Louisville ESPN
  • 9:30 p.m. Belmont at Tennessee ESPNU
  • 10 p.m. South Carolina at Michigan St. ESPN
  • 11 p.m. San Diego State at Gonzaga ESPN2
  • 11:30 p.m. Nevada or Pacific at UCLA ESPNU

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Gators ranked ninth in AP basketball poll

Florida
Content provided by Swamp Things – Gators Blog.

Florida G Kenny Boynton is one of five returning starters for the Gators. (Photo by Gary W. Green, Orlando Sentinel)

Thanks to five returning starters, and four players who were selected by the coaches to the preseason all-SEC teams, the Gators ranked ninth in the preseason AP poll.

AP Preseason poll

Record Pts Pvs
1. Duke (55) 35-5 1,613 3
2. Michigan St. (8) 28-9 1,558 13
3. Kansas St. (2) 29-8 1,414 7
4. Ohio St. 29-8 1,368 5
5. Pittsburgh 25-9 1,310 18
6. Villanova 25-8 1,198 9
7. Kansas 33-3 1,172 1
8. North Carolina 20-17 1,034 -
9. Florida 21-13 997 -
10. Syracuse 30-5 920 4
11. Kentucky 35-3 917 2
12. Gonzaga 27-7 889 22
13. Illinois 21-15 773 -
14. Purdue 29-6 771 10
15. Missouri 23-11 700 -
16. Baylor 28-8 625 19
17. Butler 33-5 607 11
18. Washington 26-10 572 -
19. Memphis 24-10 551 -
20. Georgetown 23-11 363 14
21. Virginia Tech 25-9 288 -
22. Temple 29-6 265 12
23. Tennessee 28-9 252 15
24. BYU 30-6 198 17
25. San Diego St. 25-9 158 -


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ATVS – Geaux Show Pick’em 2010 Week 9

LSU
Content provided by And The Valley Shook.

Geez Brett, time to put the phone down...

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Kevin C. Cox – Getty Images

Geez Brett, time to put the phone down…

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It’s been nearly a month since we had someone crack 11 picks, so congrats are in order for LSUchad. Otherwise, there was a huge bottleneck at 6-7. More charts, analysis, and this week’s picks after the break

Standings for Week 8
Rank Selection W-L Pts
1 LSUchad’s picks 11-2 11
2 hbry28′s picks 10-3 10
2 crip’s picks 10-3 10
4 NuttinbutFun’s picks 9-4 9
4 Ryan Perrilloux’s Goatee 9-4 9
4 feedfixer’s picks 9-4 9
4 jobsjox 9-4 9
4 tdtgodfather’s picks 9-4 9

The big story in the overall is a 6-7 week for ADD-Day allowing the top of the pack to close in. Ignoring the late joiner who is 0-111, there is a 28 point gap between worst and first, and the top ten are all still within a week of each other.

It should be noted that only 40 people submitted picks last week. So if you are stuck in the basement and want to regain some respect, you can bolt up quite a few spots just by participating.

Overall Standings Through Week 8
Rank Selection W-L Pts
1 ADD-Day’s picks 69-42 69
2 tdtgodfather’s picks 67-44 67
3 Cbkao’s picks 64-47 64
4 alange’s picks 62-49 62
4 hbry28′s picks 62-49 62
4 Geauxrillas 62-49 62
7 WatsonTiger’s picks 61-50 61
7 bobbyhebertssoncan’tblock’s picks 61-50 61
7 fander4′s picks 61-50 61
7 Screaming Beagles’s picks 61-50 61
11 LSUchad’s picks 60-51 60
11 Jahiegel 60-51 60
11 feedfixer’s picks 60-51 60
14 Tombstone’s picks 59-52 59
14 tommyallenn’s picks 59-52 59
14 TigerinVA’s picks 59-52 59
14 Antonio Banderas 59-52 59
18 crafdog’s picks 58-53 58
18 BigSabanFan’s picks 58-53 58
18 LeesvillesBest’s picks 58-53 58
18 larnus’s picks 58-53 58
18 Geauxst22′s picks 58-53 58
18 tigerrat’s picks 58-53 58
24 Ryan Perrilloux’s Goatee 57-54 57
24 starvin marvin’s picks 57-54 57
24 glock9mm’s picks 57-54 57
24 PodKATT’s picks 57-54 57
24 Jrlz’s picks 57-54 57
24 robbiesqp’s picks 57-54 57
30 muddybayou’s picks 56-55 56
30 LSUDeathValley’s picks 56-55 56
30 CDUB’s picks 56-55 56
30 Mike the Tiger 56-55 56
30 tarpon6_2002′s picks 56-55 56
30 jk567′s picks 56-55 56
30 Kattgodfather’s picks 56-55 56
37 geauxpetty’s picks 55-56 55
37 Geaux Show Guest’s picks 55-56 55
37 GLB123′s picks 55-56 55
37 BigWee 55-56 55
37 JaMarc’s Upside’s picks 55-56 55
37 Cms056′s picks 55-56 55
37 shelby924′s picks 55-56 55
37 wayfaringtiger’s picks 55-56 55
37 lfouts’s picks 55-56 55
37 crip’s picks 55-56 55
37 Foreigner 55-56 55
48 BZACHARY’s picks 54-57 54
48 haveagreatday’s picks 54-57 54
48 Texas Tiger’s picks 54-57 54
48 sb42178′s picks 54-57 54
52 HUTCH’s picks 53-58 53
52 Poseur’s picks 53-58 53
54 SassyTGR12′s picks 52-59 52
54 InTheBleachers’s picks 52-59 52
54 valsufan’s picks 52-59 52
57 jobsjox 51-60 51
57 Geaux Dere 51-60 51
57 NuttinbutFun’s picks 51-60 51
57 tell burke’s picks 51-60 51
57 Big McLargeHuge’s picks 51-60 51
62 Grayhound 50-61 50
62 Purpletiger006′s picks 50-61 50
64 OkieTigerTK’s picks 49-62 49
65 janepriceestrada’s picks 42-69 42
66 Dmarzio’s picks 41-70 41
67 ga_dawg_in_ut’s picks 0-111 0

 

Big upset of the week was Moo U failing to cover UAB, otherwise the wisdom of the crowd was pretty good. The big surprise is the dead even split on the Wisc-iowa game, which it’s self was a 1 point decision.

 

Top Matchups
PodKATT’s
Pick
Picks For Matchup Picks For Home
Spread
PodKATT’s
Pick
PodKATT’s
Points
21 pick(s) 53%
Air Force vs TCU
7 - 38
48% 19 pick(s) -19.5  
29 pick(s) 73%
Alabama vs Tennessee
41 - 10
28% 11 pick(s) +16.5 1
25 pick(s) 63%
Georgia vs Kentucky
44 - 31
38% 15 pick(s) +3.5  
30 pick(s) 75%
LSU vs Auburn
17 - 24
25% 10 pick(s) -6.5  
31 pick(s) 78%
Michigan St. vs Northwestern
35 - 27
23% 9 pick(s) +6.5 1
7 pick(s) 18%
Mississippi vs Arkansas
24 - 37
83% 33 pick(s) -10.5 1
26 pick(s) 65%
Nebraska vs Oklahoma St.
51 - 41
35% 14 pick(s) +5.5 1
19 pick(s) 48%
North Carolina vs Miami
10 - 33
53% 21 pick(s) -6.5  
23 pick(s) 58%
Notre Dame vs Navy
17 - 35
43% 17 pick(s) +6.5 1
24 pick(s) 60%
Oklahoma vs Missouri
27 - 36
40% 16 pick(s) +3.5  
39 pick(s) 98%
South Carolina vs Vanderbilt
21 - 7
3% 1 pick(s) +12.5 1
5 pick(s) 13%
UAB vs Mississippi St.
24 - 29
88% 35 pick(s) -19.5  
20 pick(s) 50%
Wisconsin vs Iowa
31 - 30
50% 20 pick(s) -5.5  

 

No LSU means no picks from the heart. We all need The ReBears to pull the upset, but I don’t see it. Don’t sleep on Baylor. Penn St. has more problems than Mich. The remaining top ranked undefeateds stay that way, and the ‘Cuse (THE ‘CUSE!?) stays in contention for the Big East crown.

Date Away Team Pick Point
Value
Pick Home Team Home
Spread
Selection
Sat 10/30 06:00pm (3)Auburn (8-0) 1 Mississippi (3-4) +7.5
Matchup
Sat 10/30 07:00pm (25)Baylor (6-2) 1 Texas (4-3) -7.5
Matchup
Sat 10/30 03:30pm Georgia (4-4) 1 Florida (4-3) +3.5
Matchup
Sat 10/30 07:00pm Kentucky (4-4) 1 (23)Mississippi St. (6-2) -6.5
Matchup
Sat 10/30 08:00pm Michigan (5-2) 1 Penn St. (4-3) +2.5
Matchup
Sat 10/30 03:30pm (5)Michigan St. (8-0) 1 (18)Iowa (5-2) -6.5
Matchup
Sat 10/30 03:30pm (7)Missouri (7-0) 1 (14)Nebraska (6-1) -7.5
Matchup
Sat 10/30 08:00pm (1)Oregon (7-0) 1 (24)Southern California (5-2) +6.5
Matchup
Sat 10/30 07:00pm (13)Stanford (6-1) 1 Washington (3-4) +7.5
Matchup
Sat 10/30 12:00pm Syracuse (5-2) 1 Cincinnati (3-4) +7.5
Matchup
Sat 10/30 12:00pm Tennessee (2-5) 1 (17)South Carolina (5-2) -17.5
Matchup
Sat 10/30 07:00pm Vanderbilt (2-5) 1 (19)Arkansas (5-2) -22.5
Matchup

 

 

ALL PICKS ARE DUE SATURDAY BEFORE KICKOFF!


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