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SEC Commitment Comparator – 12/5/13

blue-chipIt’s been a month since our last look at the commitment big board.  National Signing Day is just nine weeks from yesterday and there’s been movement all over the SEC scene. — whose grades we’ve found to be most accurate over time — has also updated some of its own star ratings.  Add it up and every single team has seen movement since early-November.

As usual, we break down the SEC’s commitment classes for you in three different ways and then we tally those results to arrive at our own official recruiting rankings.

Starting with Rivals’ star rankings, we assign one point for each star awarded to a player.  We also give 0-star prospects — those who’ve yet to have their game tape graded — a point just because we’re nice guys.  We then look a the commitment crops according to quantity (total points for each program), quality (the average points per committed player), and high-caliber recruits (the total number of 4- and 5-star commits only).

We then rank the SEC’s schools in each category from 1 (best) to 14 (worst) and tally the scores to create our own ranking.

Let’s start with quantity, the total number of points committed to each SEC program as of today.  The last column shows you the number of points gained or lost since November 7th…



  School   Commits   5-stars   4-stars   3-stars   2-stars   1- & 0-stars   Total Points   Pts +/-
  Tennessee   33   2   16   13   1   1   116   +13
  Alabama   24   3   14   7   0   0   92   +9
  Kentucky   24   0   9   14   1   0   80   -2
  Missouri   25   0   2   15   8   0   69   +2
  Ole Miss   21   0   6   14   1   0   68   +5
  Auburn   18   3   7   7   1   0   66   +9
  Texas A&M   18   2   9   6   1   0   66   +3
  Vanderbilt   20   0   6   14   0   0   66   +3
  Georgia   16   1   10   5   0   0   60   -5
  Florida   16   0   9   7   0   0   57   +6
  LSU   15   0   10   4   1   0   54   +1
  Arkansas   17   0   2   14   1   0   52   +4
  Miss. State   18   0   2   10   6   0   50   +2
  S. Carolina   14   0   7   7   0   0   49   +1


How Butch Jones intends to ink 33 players is still anyone’s guess as he only has room for 30 including backcounting.  One would assume three of the Vols’ current commits will grayshirt, but we’ll see.  Jones and company are still out recruiting, too.  Remember, that 25-man “cap” on signees is a soft cap, nothing more.  Coaches can still work around it.

Aside from Tennessee, the biggest gains over the past month have been made in the state of Alabama where both Bama and Auburn have added nine points in our quantity chart.

Now let’s examine the quality of athlete at each school…



  School   Commits   Avg. Pts/Commit
  Alabama   24   3.83
  Georgia   16   3.75
  Auburn   18   3.66
  Texas A&M   18   3.66
  LSU   15   3.60
  Florida   16   3.56
  Tennessee   33   3.51
  S. Carolina   14   3.50
  Kentucky   24   3.33
  Vanderbilt   20   3.30
  Ole Miss   21   3.23
  Arkansas   17   3.05
  Miss. State   18   2.77
  Missouri   25   2.76


No surprises here.  Alabama, Georgia, Texas A&M, Auburn, LSU and Florida are inking the best athletes.  Tennessee — even with 33 commits — is still over the 3.50 mark which is remarkable in itself.  South Carolina just comes in a 3.50 and they have space for plenty more commitments.

Arkansas, Mississippi State and Missouri fans surely don’t like how the numbers break for their teams.  It will be interesting to see what kind of bounce Mizzou gets for reaching the SEC Championship Game.  (Sidenote — Gary Pinkel has shown this year and throughout his career that he doesn’t require top 10 classes to win games… much as Bobby Petrino never needed all-star players to deliver positive results.)

Next we look at the high-end caliber players.  Not all 4- and 5-star players will love up to their hype, but the more blue-chippers a school lands, the better the odds of finding some true difference-makers…


High-Caliber Players

  School   Commits   4- & 5-stars
  Tennessee   33   18
  Alabama   24   17
  Georgia   16   11
  Texas A&M   18   11
  Auburn   18   10
  LSU   15   10
  Florida   16   9
  Kentucky   24   9
  S. Carolina   14   7
  Ole Miss   21   6
  Vanderbilt   20   6
  Arkansas   17   2
  Miss. State   18   2
  Missouri   25   2


From looking at those numbers, the odds of uncovering some real gems are in the favor of Tennessee and Alabama, followed by Georgia, Texas A&M, Auburn and LSU.

Next we tally up all those scores in order to create our official SEC recruiting rankings.  First place in one of the three categories above would equal one point.  Second place would equal two point and so on.  The lower the number the better the class… Recruiting Rankings

  Rank   School   Quantity   Quality   High-Caliber   Total Points
  1   Alabama   2   1   2   5
  2   Tennessee   1   7   1   9
  3   Texas A&M   6   3   3   12
  4t   Auburn   6   3   5   14
  4t   Georgia   9   2   3   14
  6   Kentucky   3   9   7   19
  7   LSU   11   5   5   21
  8   Florida   10   6   7   23
  9t   Ole Miss   5   11   10   26
  9t   Vanderbilt   6   10   10   26
  10   Missouri   4   14   12   30
  11   S. Carolina   14   8   9   31
  12   Arkansas   12   12   12   36
  13   Miss. State   13   13   12   38


There you have it.  Alabama and Tennessee in the lead with Texas A&M, Auburn and Georgia in closest pursuit.  With the holidays upon us, it won’t be long until signing day arrives.  Good luck to your favorite team and is it works to climb — or stay on top of — our recruiting rankings.



Butch Jones is a little want a be Nick Saben


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