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SEC’s Upset Saturday Fueled By Turnovers

BUTTERFINGERSLongtime followers of this site know how much emphasis we place on turnover margin.  We’ve done six years of research into SEC versus SEC games and found that you can pretty much pencil in each game’s victor after a quick check of the turnover numbers.

On Saturday, the SEC’s BCS hopes took a massive hit as five ranked teams — #6 LSU, #7 Texas A&M, #11 South Carolina, #15 Georgia, and #22 Florida — all went belly-up.  And from one game to the other, turnovers proved to be a huge factor.



Vanderbilt 31, #15 Georgia 27

Turnover battle: Vanderbilt 2, Georgia 3.

Winning team: +1


#14 Missouri 36, #22 Florida 17

Turnover battle: Missouri 2, Florida 3

Winning team: +1


Tennessee 23, #11 South Carolina 21

Turnover battle: Tennessee 0, South Carolina 2

Winning team: +2


#24 Auburn 45, #7 Texas A&M 41

Turnover battle: Auburn 1, Texas A&M 2

Winning team: +1


Ole Miss 27, #6 LSU 24

Turnover battle: Ole Miss 2, LSU 3

Winning team: +1


For good measure, the SEC’s highest-ranked team — #1 Alabama — clocked Arkansas and won the turnover battle decisively as well.


#1 Alabama 52, Arkansas 0

Turnover battle: Alabama 0, Arkansas 3

Winning team: +3


Now, were turnovers the only reason Alabama and Missouri won going away?  No.  But when all six SEC games go to the teams making the fewest mistakes, it’s hard to ignore the turnover margins.  Especially when four of those games were decided by four points or less.

Winning teams on Saturday: seven turnovers.  Losing teams on Saturday: 16 turnovers.

There is no single stat in SEC football more telling than turnover margin.  Period.



Florida had 17 points. It is blank above.


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