Thanks for the info and it does show up that way. Just a thought. Could this be partially because the higher recruiting service ranking encourages the better coaching staffs/teams to seek those players? If so, and I believe it is a contributing factor, the recruits that end up at those schools receive better coaching and player development as a general rule. That will lead to the better chance to be drafted than those with lesser ratings. So could it be that it is more important than many HS players realize to be rated highly by the services? Appears that way.
By now you know that the SEC owned last week’s NFL draft. You’ve seen those numbers. A record 63 players picked. No other conference could match the number of prospects produced by the SEC East or SEC West divisions, much less the whole conference.
Of all 250+ players selected, right at 25% came from the Southeastern Conference. Crazy.
But what did those 63 drafted players look like as recruits coming out of the high school and junior college ranks? We’ve done the research for you and below you’ll find a couple of different tables.
The first is simply an alphabetical listing of all the SEC players selected last week. Beside their names, positions, and schools we’ve listed the rounds in which they were chosen. To the right of that you’ll find their high school class — or a “Juco” designation in some cases — and the number of star ratings they were given by Rivals.com as prospects:
So what does that tell us? It tells us that 4- and 5-star recruits do indeed have a better chance of being drafted into the NFL than 2- or 3-star recruits. Seems obvious, but many still dismiss recruiting rankings entirely. At MrSEC.com, we believe they should be viewed as a compass, but not as a GPS. Those rankings can give you an idea of in what direction a prospect is going, but they can’t provide a completely accurate picture of how his college trip will turn out.
Below is a breakdown by Rivals star rankings of this year’s SEC draft class:
Some of you likely noticed that more former 3-star recruits were drafted out of the SEC than former 5-star recruits. True enough. But keep in mind recruiting services — in this case Rivals — hand out fewer high-end grades than middle- to low-end grades. In other words, there should be more 3-stars than 5-stars drafted because there are many more 3-star players, period.
The takeaway, in our view, is that when it comes to recruits who’ll stand out as draft-ready in the hyper-talented SEC, 4- and 5-star recruits are much better bets than 2- and 3-star prospects. The high-end guys accounted for 39 of the SEC’s 63 draft picks while the low-end guys accounted for just 24 selections… despite the fact that there are more of those kinds of prospects floating around.
Further proof? Of the 14 early entrants into the draft who were picked by NFL clubs, 13 were 4- or 5-star prospects coming out of high school. Texas A&M’s Damontre Moore was the only player to go from 3-star recruit in the class of 2010 to early entrant draftee in 2013.
So knowing that recruiting rankings do translate — on some level — those fans who follow recruiting are wise to always keep an eye on the number of 4- and 5-star guys being inked by each school. That doesn’t mean some 4- and 5-star guys won’t bust or that some 2- and 3-star guys won’t turn out better than expected, but in terms of playing the odds, the more stars the better. And this year’s SEC draft class hammers that point home again.