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SEC Game Previews – 11/16/12 (Glorified Scrimmage Edition)

Here’s your weekly rundown of all the SEC action on tap for Week Eleven of the regular season.  As always, you’ll find everything from TV listings to the betting lines to our own predictions.

Enjoy the games, be safe, and best of luck to your favorite school this weekend.

Sadly, this is an absolute joke of a weekend.  Horrible games abound.  Reminds us of this!  But here goes anyway…

 

Arkansas at Mississippi State

12:21pm ET on SEC Network

Opening Line:  MSU -6

Current Line:  MSU -6

Storylines:  Arkansas is trying to keep its slim bowl hopes alive.  Mississippi State is trying halt a three-game losing skid.

Keys for Arkansas:  Stop the pass.  The Razorbacks are dead last in the SEC in pass defense and QB Tyler Russell of Mississippi State is likely licking his chops.  (Then again, after three straight losses, there probably shouldn’t be much chop-licking of any kind going on in Starkville these days.)  Arkansas needs to either a) slow down Russell, b) fire up RB Knile Davis to chew clock, or c) do all of the above.

Keys for Mississippi State:  Reignite the run game.  Arkansas’ rush defense is pretty good statistically but that could be because everyone spend their time attacking the Hogs through the air.  The Dogs ground game has ground to a standstill the past three weeks — 47 yards, 98 yards, and 47 yards.  In MSU’s first seven games — against bad opponents — the Bulldogs rushed for no less than 141 yards in any one contest.  Gotta run the thing.

Pick:  Mississippi State 31, Arkansas 27

 

Western Carolina at Alabama

12:21pm ET on SEC Network

Opening Line:  No Line, FCS Foe

Current Line:  No Line, FCS Fos

Storylines:  None

Keys for Alabama:  Don’t lose to Texas A&M twice.  No, Bama won’t lose to Carolina, but a post-A&M hangover could leave them looking rough around the edges.  Time to wake up and get back on track in Tuscaloosa.

Pick:  Alabama 42, Western Carolina 9

 

Jacksonville State at Florida

1:00pm ET on Pay-per-view

Opening Line:  No Line, FCS Foe

Current Line:  No Line, FCS Foe

Storylines:  We would say, “none,” but UF needed a miracle punt block to beat Louisiana-Lafayette at home last week.  That said, Jacksonville State is no Louisiana-Lafayette.  (Sarcasm.)

Keys for Florida:  Find a passing attack.  QB Jacoby Brissett will get the start tomorrow and if QB Jeff Driskel’s ankle doesn’t improve Brissett could get the start against Florida State the following weekend, too.  Time to find some semblance of an aerial attack.  Some way.  Any way.

Pick:  Florida 28, Jacksonville State 10

 

Wofford at South Carolina

1:00pm ET on Pay-per-view

Opening Line:  No Line, FCS Foe

Current Line:  No Line, FCS Foe

Storylines:  With a victory, Steve Spurrier will become South Carolina’s all-time winningest coach and join Bear Bryant as the only two coaches to be the all-time win leaders at a pair of SEC schools.

Keys for South Carolina:  Stop the triple-option.  Wofford’s option attack has given Carolina some amount of trouble in years past, but it’s doubtful the Terriers can hang with this version of the Gamecocks.

Pick:  South Carolina 35, Wofford 14

 

Alabama A&M at Auburn

2:00pm ET on Pay-per-view

Opening Line:  No Line, FCS Foe

Current Line:  No Line, FCS Foe

Storylines:  No.  Surely not an upset.  Surely not.

Keys for Auburn:  Take A&M seriously.  Auburn can’t afford to overlook anyone.  Word this week suggests AD Jay Jacobs will have a say in whether or not Gene Chizik survives this awful season.  Lose at home to Alabama A&M and Chizik might not even make it to Monday morning, much less next season.

Pick:  Auburn 35, Alabama A&M 13

 

Georgia Southern at Georgia

1:30pm ET on Pay-per-view

Opening Line:  No Line, FCS Foe

Current Line:  No Line, FCS Foe

Storylines:  Yawn.

Keys for Georgia:  Handle the option.  The Bulldogs will get a warm-up for next week’s Georgia Tech game when they face Georgia Southern’s option attack.  The Eagles won’t win, but they might cause some problems for a UGA defense that has been improving of late.

Pick:  Georgia 42, Georgia Southern 17

 

Ole Miss at LSU

3:30pm ET on CBS

Opening Line:  LSU -20

Current Line:  LSU -19

Storylines:  The Tigers are fighting for a BCS bid.  Ole Miss is aiming for bowl eligibility.

Keys for LSU:  Be smart, be balanced.  The Tigers should be able to pound a decimated Ole Miss squad with the league’s fourth-best rushing attack.  At the same time, QB Zach Mettenberger has gone 44-of-65 through the air the last two weeks for 571 yards, three TDs and no interceptions.  The Tiger coaching staff should try to keep his hot hand hot tomorrow afternoon.

Keys for Ole Miss:  Force turnovers.  LSU leads the SEC in turnover margin so it’s unlikely the Rebels will indeed win the turnover battle, but they’ll have to.  Without a number of takeaways — and probably several other LSU penalties and miscues — Hugh Freeze’s thin-rostered squad could be in deep, deep trouble.

Pick:  LSU 37, Ole Miss 14

 

Sam Houston State at Texas A&M

3:30pm ET on Pay-per-view

Opening Line:  No Line, FCS Foe

Current Line:  No Line, FCS Foe

Storylines:  Boring.

Keys for Texas A&M:  Show up.  If Alabama can’t stop QB Johnny Manziel, here’s guessing Sam Houston State won’t be able to stop him, either.

Pick:  Texas A&M 66, Sam Houston State 7

 

Tennessee at Vanderbilt

7:00pm ET on ESPN2

Opening Line:  VU -2

Current Line:  VU -3.5

Storylines:  Tennessee has to win to keep its bowl hopes alive.  Derek Dooley is fighting for a job that we’re told he’s already been told he’s lost.  Vanderbilt is trying to keep alive its hopes of reaching the eight-win plateau for the first time since 1982.

Keys for Tennessee:  Stop QB Jordan Rodgers.  Rodgers has been an efficient quarterback this year and last week he led the Commodores back from a big deficit on the road at Ole Miss.  Tennessee’s pass defense energizes every quarterback it faces.  If the Vols are to win, they can’t let Rodgers throw all over them.

Keys for Vanderbilt:  Run to keep UT honest.  Even though Vandy — like every other team to play the Vols — should score points, James Franklin probably won’t want to get into a shooting match with QB Tyler Bray and company.  Vandy needs to find a successful groove on the ground to eat some clock and keep the Vol offense on the sideline.  RB Zac Stacy’s health could be key.

Pick:  Vanderbilt 34, Tennessee 31

 

Syracuse at Missouri

7:00pm ET on ESPNU

Opening Line:  MU -6.5

Current Line:  MU -5

Storylines:  Missouri needs a win for bowl eligibility, but the Tigers have suspended their best player — DT Sheldon Richardson — because he hasn’t been able to drag his big rump to class.

Keys for Missouri:  Shut down the Syracuse passing game.  The Orange rank first in the Big East in passing.  The Tigers are seventh in the SEC in pass defense.  But without Richardson wreaking havoc up front, can Mizzou’s secondary hold up?  It’ll have to.

Pick:  Missouri 31, Syracuse 30

 

Samford at Kentucky

7:30pm ET on CSS

Opening Line:  No Line, FCS Foe

Current Line:  No Line, FCS Foe

Storylines:  Will the Cats show up for Joker Phillips?

Keys for Kentucky:  Show some heart.  Samford is 7-3 in the Southern Conference.  Normally, we’d take Kentucky over any Southern Conference team regardless of records.  But the Cats are just 1-9 on the season and despite their public show of support for Phillips, these Wildcats may have already packed it in for the season.  This could be closer than expected.

Pick:  Kentucky 27, Samford 17

 


5 comments
GZA92
GZA92

In reading this article, if nothing else, it's cool to see you're a Simpsons fan too, John.

BillRauhuff
BillRauhuff

Maybe Tennessee can upset Vanderbilt which is hard to say in the same sentence that it has come to this for Tennessee

Mr Bad Example
Mr Bad Example

Wow....I've seen more intense competition at the Special Olympics.

BonzaiB
BonzaiB

Looks like a perfect weekend ot detail the car.......

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