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MrSEC.com Stat Analysis: Butterfingers And Bandits 11/16/25

Here at MrSEC.com, we like to provide you with different stats, numbers and figures throughout the football season.  Typically, we try to present them in ways that you might not find elsewhere.  Over the course of five years of doing this, we’ve stumbled across a few that tend to serve as pretty good indicators of on-field success.

For those of you who’ve read this site, you’re familiar with our five-season, 245-game study into the impact of turnovers on SEC football games.  Obviously, the more a team turns the ball over, the less chance it will have of winning.  The same applies for teams who force turnovers from their foes, obviously.  But what was surprising to us was just how important turnovers are when a pair of SEC rivals get together:

 

2007-2011 SEC Turnovers

Commit 0 Turnovers — 70-23 record, 75.2 winning percentage

Commit 1 Turnover — 95-62 record, 60.8 winning percentage

Commit 2 Turnovers — 49-65 record, 42.9 winning percentage

Commit 3 Turnovers — 22-56 record, 28.2 winning percentage

Commit 4 Turnovers — 9-40 record, 18.3 winning percentage

 

With those numbers in mind, we present our Butterfingers measure.  It’s simple really.  We look at the total number of offensive plays run by a team against SEC opponents and compare that number to the total tally of giveaways for that squad.  What you’ll see below is the number of plays typically run by each team between turnovers.  The more plays run between giving the ball away… the better.

 

  School   Giveaways Vs SEC   Offensive Plays   Plays/Giveaway
  LSU (4-2)   7   426   60.85
  Florida (7-1)   10   515   51.50
  Kentucky (0-7)   8   408   51.00
  Miss. State (3-3)   8   400   50.00
  Georgia (7-1)   11   545   49.54
  Alabama (6-1)   9   445   49.44
  Vanderbilt (4-3)   10   489   48.90
  Texas A&M (5-2)   12   567   47.25
  Ole Miss (2-4)   10   433   43.30
  S. Carolina (6-2)   13   523   40.23
  Tennessee (0-6)   13   435   33.46
  Missouri (2-5)   17   512   30.11
  Arkansas (2-4)   15   429   28.60
  Auburn (0-7)   17   397   23.35

 

Now let’s look at the league’s defenses.  We call this our Bandits measure.  It’s simply the inverse of our Butterfingers measure.  The more times a defense can force a team to give up the football, the better that team’s odds of winning the game.  So we compare the total number of defensive takeaways to the total number of defensive snaps run by each SEC squad.  The lower the number the number of plays between turnovers… the better.

 

  School   Takeaways Vs SEC   Defensive Plays   Plays/Takeaway
  LSU (4-2)   16   391   24.43
  Florida (7-1)   20   539   26.95
  Georgia (7-1)   19   525   27.63
  Alabama (6-1)   16   464   29.00
  Ole Miss (2-4)   14   417   29.78
  Missouri (2-5)   12   472   39.33
  Miss. State (3-3)   9   409   45.44
  S. Carolina (6-2)   11   529   48.09
  Arkansas (2-4)   8   391   48.87
  Texas A&M (5-2)   9   493   54.77
  Auburn (0-7)   8   480   60.00
  Tennessee (0-6)   7   435   62.14
  Kentucky (0-7)   8   504   63.00
  Vanderbilt (4-3)   3   475   158.33

 


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