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Vince’s Vibe: Week 4 picks

Here’s the complete schedule of SEC football games this weekend with details, analysis and a score prediction for each game. My record last week was 10-2. My record after week 3, straight-up, is 29-5.

Schedule of Saturday, Sept. 22 Games

*Rankings are AP first/Coaches second

 

Ole Miss (2-1) at Tulane (0-2)

12 p.m. ET / 11 a.m. CT • FSN

New Orleans, La. • Mercedes-Benz Superdome (72,000)

Vince’s View: Tulane is off to an awful start under first-year coach Curtis Johnson. The Green Wave is 120th in the FBS is rushing, averaging 7.5 yards per game; 120th in total offense at 219.5 yards per game; 117th in scoring offense at 11 ppg; 116th in rushing defense at 257.5 ypg; etc. You get the point. Ole Miss will bounce back and even-out the stats after giving-up 66 points to Texas last week.

Winner: Ole Miss 45-10

 

Kentucky (1-2) at #14/14 Florida (3-0, 2-0 SEC)

12:21 p.m. ET / 11:21 a.m. CT • SEC Network

Gainesville, Fla. • Ben Hill Griffin Stadium at Florida Field (88,548)

Vince’s View: Kentucky is what we thought they would be. UK has some offensively ability against bad teams, and an inability to stop most everybody. After back-to-back tough, emotional conference road wins at Texas A&M and rival Tennessee the last two weeks, a little letdown in focus by the Gators is possible. Tough, talented QB Jeff Driskel and that excellent Florida defense will have more than enough to handle the ‘Cats.

Winner: Florida 38-13

 

Missouri (2-1, 0-1 SEC) at #7/8 South Carolina (3-0, 1-0 SEC)

3:30 p.m. ET / 2:30 p.m. CT • CBS Sports

Columbia, S.C. • Williams-Brice Stadium (80,250)

Vince’s View: This is the battle of QBs with shoulder injuries. Both Missouri’s James Franklin and South Carolina’s Connor Shaw are expected to start despite the shoulder questions. Other than the 4th quarter vs. Georgia, Mizzou’s defense has done a nice job. SC’s defense has been strong throughout, although it will be without suspended safety DJ Swearinger. The 4th quarter will again be the undoing of the Tigers against a tough, physical Gamecocks team playing at home.

Winner: South Carolina 27-17

 

Florida Atlantic (1-2) at #1/1 Alabama (3-0, 1-0 SEC)

5 p.m. ET / 4 p.m. CT • PPV

Tuscaloosa, Ala. • Bryant-Denny Stadium (101,821)

Vince’s View: Alabama has obliterated every opponent, and this week will be no different. The biggest intrigue will be if Alabama can record its third-straight shutout for the first time since 1966. I’m going to guess FAU will have something go its way and then jump on any points within range to avoid the shutout.

Winner: Alabama 49-3

 

#2/2 LSU (3-0) at Auburn (1-2, 0-1 SEC)

7 p.m. ET / 6 p.m. CT • ESPN

Auburn, Ala. • Jordan-Hare Stadium / Pat Dye Field (87,451)

Vince’s View: Much like Arkansas, Auburn must show some pride and elevate its play on Saturday night. If Auburn doesn’t show some fight early, LSU will squeeze the will out of Auburn and anyone in blue and orange down on The Plains. LSU’s rushing offense will have a big day. There will be plenty of enticing opportunities in the passing game for QB Zach Mettenberger as well. I’d be surprised if LSU’s talented secondary doesn’t pick-off Auburn QB Kiehl Frazier three or more times.

Winner: LSU 41-9

 

Rutgers (3-0) at Arkansas (1-2, 0-1 SEC)

7 p.m. ET / 6 p.m. CT • ESPNU

Fayetteville, Ark. • Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium (72,000)

Vince’s View: This would be a defense vs. offense match-up if everything was normal. Things are far from normal in Fayetteville. The Arkansas program has unraveled. QB Tyler Wilson has been cleared to play for the Razorbacks according to John L. Smith. Rutgers is 5th in the nation in scoring defense and 9th in pass defense. Offensively, I like the efficient play of QB Gary Nova vs. USF and the 41-carry workload of RB Jawan Jamison last week as well. More anger to come in the state of Arkansas.

Winner: Rutgers 20-17

 

South Alabama (1-2) at #23/23 Mississippi State (3-0, 1-0 SEC)

7 p.m. ET / 6 p.m. CT • PPV

Starkville, Miss. • Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field (55,082)

Vince’s View: Mississippi State had a little letdown in a close win at Troy last week. I think MSU will be much better this week. South Alabama is having a tough time scoring in year-one of FBS play. It will be very tough to score Saturday. It won’t be so hard for the Fighting Mullens.

Winner: Mississippi State 45-6

 

South Carolina State (1-2) at Texas A&M (1-1, 0-1 SEC)

7 p.m. ET / 6 p.m. CT • FSN

College Station, Texas • Kyle Field (82,589)

Vince’s View: Texas A&M QB Johnny Manziel is off to a great start. He is, on 3rd down this season, 14-of-15 passing with 10 1st downs & 3 TDs. This is a first-half stats game for Manziel and the starters before the reserves play a lot.

Winner: Texas A&M 66-3

 

Akron (1-2) at Tennessee (2-1, 0-1 SEC)

7:30 p.m. ET / 6:30 p.m. CT • Neyland Stadium / Shields-Watkins Field (102,455)

Columbia, S.C. • Williams-Brice Stadium (80,250)

Vince’s View: Tennessee LB Jacques Smith called this game a “recovery game” before returning to SEC play next week at Georgia. In perception, UT has nothing to gain and everything to lose from this game. If the Vols look good it could raise the confidence of the players. But, what good does that really do the team in preparing you for the big games that matter? None. First year Akron coach Terry Bowden led the Zips to the first win in nearly two full seasons. He said Tennessee will be ornery after the disappointing loss to the Gators. Akron is 5th in the nation in passing, so it will be somewhat of a challenge to the Volunteers pass defense that lost leading tackler and DB-leader, safety Brian Randolph for the season. Look for true freshman safety LaDarrell McNeil to notch an interception. Also, watch for WR Alton “Pig” Howard to not only make his first college catch but score a TD in only his second game.

Winner: Tennessee 59-21

 

Vanderbilt (1-2, 0-1 SEC) at #5/6 Georgia (3-0, 1-0 SEC)

7:45 p.m. ET / 6:45 p.m. CT • ESPN2

Athens, Ga. • Sanford Stadium (92,746)

Vince’s View: James Franklin made a QB switch last week vs. Presbyterian, going with Wyoming transfer Austyn Carta-Samuels over returning starter Jordan Rodgers. He’s not saying who starts Saturday, but why would he give Carta-Samuels the warm-up game if he wasn’t going to play him at Georgia. Bench Rodgers then stick him back in vs. Georgia? Not happening. It’s interesting, but in the end, it won’t matter. You’ll see the best defensive performance of the year for Georgia as DC Todd Grantham blends the previously injured and suspended players back in and they get into game shape.

Winner: Georgia 31-7

 

Follow me @VinceSports on Twitter and see everything I’m working on in sports. Download the WNML App for your mobile device, so you can hear the “News Sentinel Sports Page” radio sports talk show that I host (weekdays 10am-12pm ET/9-11am CT) at www.sportsanimal99.com.

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