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SEC Game Projections For 11/25 and 11/26/11

It’s the Game of the Century II today in Baton Rouge as the nation’s eyes once again turn toward the SEC.  If LSU wins — and if Alabama beats Auburn tomorrow — you can likely print the tickets for an LSU-Alabama BCS title game… even if LSU loses to Georgia in the SEC title game.  If Arkansas wins, well, then we’ll have a good bit of chaos to unsort.

If you believe LSU and Bama are the two best teams in the country, then root for the Tigers this afternoon.  If you’re a hater of the BCS or just an anarchist, then pull for the Razorbacks.  Either way, it should be another fun one in the SEC.


Arkansas at LSU

2:30pm on CBS

Why It Matters:  This one game will go a long way in deciding the championships of the SEC West Division, the SEC overall and the BCS.  Big enough for ya?

What Vegas Says:  LSU by 11.5 (opened at -13.5)

What We Say:  It’s been a crazy series and Arkansas has certainly given LSU it’s share of problems over the years.  But for all the people pointing to the passing yards allowed by the Tigers against West Virginia, it’s important to not that LSU still won that game 47-21.  Great defense usually trumps great offense.

Prediction:  LSU 31, Arkansas 22


Georgia at Georgia Tech

12:00pm on ABC

Why It Matters:  Mark Richt has won nine games in a row and has captured the East Division crown.  But lose this one and the anti-Richters will be screaming once again.

What Vegas Says:  Georgia by 6 (opened at -5.5)

What We Say:  Richt has only lost to Tech once in his tenure and Todd Grantham is now familiar with Tech’s option attack.

Prediction:  Georgia 30, Georgia Tech 24


Tennessee at Kentucky

12:21pm on SEC Network

Why It Matters:  If UT wins, the Vols will go bowling.  If UK wins, those rumors about Joker Phillips’ job status will stop swirling.

What Vegas Says:  Tennessee by 7 (opened at -9)

What We Say:  The Vols have needed overtime in their last two trips to Lexington, but after winning 26 in a row against the Cats, how can you pick against Tennessee is this series?

Prediction:  Tennessee 28, Kentucky 17


Alabama at Auburn

3:30pm on CBS

Why It Matters:  We could talk about Bama’s title hopes but there’s just one thing you need to know — it’s the frickin’ Iron Bowl

What Vegas Says:  Alabama by 21 (opened at -21.5)

What We Say:  The Tide’s rush offense is the 15th best in America (averaging 220 ypg).  The Tigers’ rush defense ranks 98th out of 120 teams (allowing 193 ypg on the ground).

Prediction:  Alabama 34, Auburn 17


Vanderbilt at Wake Forest

3:30pm on ESPNU

Why It Matters:  Vandy can reach just its third bowl game since 1982 with a victory.

What Vegas Says:  Vanderbilt by 1.5 (opened at -1)

What We Say:  James Franklin has done a good job of making the Dores competitive, but VU is still winless on the road this season.

Prediction:  Wake Forest 28, Vanderbilt 27


Florida State at Florida

7:00pm on ESPN2

Why It Matters:  Bragging rights in the Sunshine State.  There’s not much else that matters regarding this Disappointment Bowl.

What Vegas Says:  Florida State by 3 (opened at -2.5)

What We Say:  FSU ranks in the Top 10 nationally in rush defense, scoring defense and total defense.  Meanwhile, Florida’s offense has disappeared time and again.

Prediction:  Florida State 24, Florida 17


Ole Miss at Mississippi State

7:00pm on ESPNU

Why It Matters:  MSU players are looking for a bowl bid while Ole Miss players are saying goodbye to their coach.

What Vegas Says:  MSU by 17 (opened at -18)

What We Say:  Emotionally drained and down to their third starting quarterback of the season, Ole Miss just doesn’t look capable of sending Houston Nutt out a winner.

Prediction:  Mississippi State 31, Ole Miss 13


Clemson at South Carolina

7:45pm on ESPN

Why It Matters:  Carolina is gunning for its 10th win of the season.

What Vegas Says:  South Carolina by 4 (opened at -4)

What We Say:  The Cocks have been both lucky and plucky in going 3-1 with a struggling, Marcus Lattimore-less offense.  But now they’re dealing with injuries on defense, too.

Prediction:  Clemson 27, South Carolina 24


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