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Grading The SEC’s 2011 Football Schedules

Last week at MrSEC we gave each SEC school’s 2011 non-conference schedule the eyeball test.  Today we check out each school’s entire 2011 schedule… and we even get mathematical about it.

First things first, this is just a simple exercise.  It’s not intended to serve as an entrance thesis to MIT.  We didn’t use a slide rule, pi, or the Pythagorean theorem.  Instead we simply used each team’s 2010 performance — which of course presents its own set of problems.  Based on 2010′s results, Auburn would be the toughest game on anyone’s schedule in 2011.  But in reality, the Tigers figure to take a step back next season.  Still, last year’s accomplishments are the best figures we have to work with at this time.

Our “formula” is an easy one.  Here’s what each SEC squad received for each opponent on its 2011 docket:
 

* 1 point for every opponent’s 2010 wins
* 1 point for every 2011 game played away from home
* 5 points for every bowl appearance by an opponent in 2010
* 5 points for every final Top 20 ranking by an opponent in 2010
* 0 points of any kind for FCS-level opponents on 2011 schedule


When the numbers were tallied, the SEC’s 2011 schedules ranked as follows from most difficult to easiest:


SEC 2011 Schedule Difficulty

Rank
School
Points
Games Away From Home
Why So Tough, So Easy?
1 LSU
166
6
Oregon and WVU away from home + SEC schedule
2
Ole Miss
163
5
BYU, Fresno St. solid non-conf games
3
Arkansas
158
5
SC, UT, MSU, at LSU to close season
4
S. Carolina
152
5
3-game stretch at MSU, at UT, at Ark
5t
Auburn
151
5
4-game stretch of at SC, at Ark, UF, at LSU
5t
Florida
151
5
4-game stretch of Ala, at LSU, at Aub, UGA (Jax)
7
Miss. State
146
6
Memphis, La. Tech, UAB, UT-Martin non-conf games
8
Georgia
144
6
Boise St., SC to open the season
9
Vanderbilt
142
5
Finish at UT, at W. Forest
10
Alabama
139
5
Kent St., N. Texas, Ga. Southern bad non-conf games
11
Tennessee
138
4
7 of first 9 games at home
12
Kentucky
122
5
W. Ky, C. Mich, L’ville, Jax. St. bad non-conf games


 


1 comments
Natan
Natan

3 points need to be given when your opponent has an off week and you do not.

Trackbacks

  1. [...] Read the rankings of “Grading the 2011 SEC football schedules” on MrSEC.com 1.18.11 [...]

  2. [...] John Pennington rates it as eighth-easiest schedule of any team in the SEC.  But it’s not just the easy [...]

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