• Alabama
    Arkansas
    Auburn
    LSU
    Mississippi State
    Ole Miss


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With two weeks to play, the SEC’s bowl picture is as blurry now as it was a month ago.

Florida and Alabama have been dominant and both have run away from the pack.  On the other end of spectrum, Vanderbilt is the only SEC team already eliminated from the bowl picture.

The other nine teams in the league are still jockeying for position.  With that in mind, here’s a breakdown of what each team has left between now and bowl bid time in two weeks:


School
Week 12 Opp.
Week 13 Opp.
SEC Title Game
Best Case Record
Worst Case Record
ALABAMA
Chattanooga
at Auburn
Florida
13-0
10-3
ARKANSAS
Miss. State
at LSU
  8-4
6-6
AUBURN
      8-4
7-5
FLORIDA
FIU
Fla. State
Alabama
13-0
10-3
GEORGIA
Kentucky
at Ga. Tech
  8-4
6-6
KENTUCKY
at Georgia
Tennessee
  8-4
6-6
LSU
at Ole Miss
Arkansas
  10-2
8-4
MISS. STATE
at Arkansas
Ole Miss
  6-6
4-8
OLE MISS
LSU
at Miss. State
  9-3
7-5
S. CAROLINA
  Clemson
  7-5
6-6
TENNESSEE
Vanderbilt
at Kentucky
  7-5
5-7
VANDERBILT
at Tennessee
    3-9
2-10




We’ll dive into the prediction game at this point, but don’t go putting any money on these picks.  My views are likely to change a whole lot come Sunday morning.



BCS Title Game (vs Texas)
ALABAMA, 13-0
Florida got the Tide last year, this year I’ll take Bama to exact revenge.


Sugar Bowl (vs TCU)
FLORIDA, 12-1
But I could see the SEC title game going the other way, too


Capital One Bowl (vs Penn State)
LSU, 9-3
The Capital One committee would love this matchup for attendance and TV purposes


Outback Bowl (vs Wisconsin)
Ole Miss, 8-4
I believe this is a year when the Outback will request a West Division team due to their better record


Cotton Bowl (vs Nebraska)
Tennessee, 7-5
When the Cotton Bowl goes with an East Division team, it’s usually Tennessee


Chick-fil-A Bowl (vs Clemson)
Auburn, 7-5
The Tigers played Clemson in this bowl just two years ago, but this one still seems to make sense from an attendance standpoint


Music City Bowl (vs North Carolina)
South Carolina, 7-5
How can the folks in Nashville pass up a game that was SUPPOSED to start next year’s schedule?


Liberty Bowl (vs East Carolina)
Georgia, 7-5
I think an upset Georgia fanbase will be seen as less likely to travel, thus the Dawgs fall all the way to the Liberty


Independence Bowl (vs Kansas State)
Arkansas, 7-5
It’s unlikely, but an Iowa State-Auburn matchup would be interesting here, wouldn’t it?

(UPDATE — I had a typo on my spreadsheet that has now been corrected… Arkansas is currently 6-4, not 5-7.  Logic was right, record in table was wrong.)

Papajohns.com Bowl (vs West Virginia)
Kentucky, 6-6
At least the Wildcats will go somewhere south of Tennessee this year

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1.  Pat Dooley of The Gainesville Sun makes his weekend predictions here.

(Mr. Dooley takes his usual shots at Lane Kiffin and Georgia as well.)

2.  Charles Hollis of The Birmingham News makes his predictions, too.

3.  Geoff Calkins of The MCA has posted his picks for the weekend.

4.  Tony Barnhart of The AJC has made his prognostications as well.

5.  Finally, there is a chance that UGA VII will be laid to rest at Sanford Stadium in a private ceremony before tomorrow’s Kentucky game.

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1.  Despite injuries and youth, Carolina’s defense has continued to play well.

2.  This notes column covers USC’s special teams, Jarvis Giles’ disappearance and — yes — play-calling.

3.  Eric Norwood is a finalist for the Butkus Award.

4.  This writer doesn’t think Carolina should be trying to set up any coach-in-waiting deals.

5.  In basketball news, Carolina held off LaSalle 78-68 last night despite a poor night from Devan Downey.

6.  Dominique Archie led a balanced attack for USC.

7.  The Gamecocks will face South Florida in the second round of the Charleston Classic tonight.

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I can’t believe I’m having to write yet another story like this, but here goes…

Backup Georgia offensive lineman Jonathan Owens was arrested yesterday for driving a motorcycle without a license. 

That makes him the THIRD Bulldog to be arrested over a driver’s license issue since October 13th.

Last month, Mark Richt said he was “highly frustrated” by these type of incidents.  “We’ve got to make sure we’re monitoring these things so we don’t have these things blow up on us.”

In Georgia, some small motorcycles do not require a license and that might have caused some confusion for Owens.

That said, it’s probably time for Richt to tell his guys the obvious — if you sit on something with a motor… make sure you have an up-to-date legal license.

It’s really not that hard.

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1.  Kentucky has only seven more Kentuckians on its roster than Georgians… which makes tomorrow’s game special for a number of Wildcats.

2.  UK’s offensive line will face a big challenge against Georgia’s D-line tomorrow.

3.  To make matters worse, Randall Cobb will be a gametime decision due to a bruised shoulder.

4.  In basketball news, freshman DeMarcus Cousins racked up 27 points and 18 rebounds to lead the Cats past Sam Houston State 102-92.

5.  John Calipari said after the game, “This may be the worst defensive team I’ve had since 1988.”

6.  Coach Cal also said, “I was so made a couple of times my head almost popped off.”  And this… “I love my team, and we have a chance of being good.  But we also have a chance of being bad if we don’t start changing some things.”

7.  This writer believes UK needs more substance to go with their “wow” style.

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1.  The main mission for Arkansas’ defense tomorrow?  Tackle Anthony Dixon.

2.  According to this notes column, several Hogs are using the word “revenge” this week because MSU beat UA last year to knock them out of a bowl trip.

3.  The revenge talk isn’t coming from Bobby Petrino.

4.  This writer doesn’t believe State has the firepower to hang with Arkansas.

5.  John Pelphrey says he remembers how Appalachian State (tonight’s opponent) upset his first Razorbacks squad.

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1.  The LSU defense will have its hands full with Ole Miss’ Dexter McCluster.

2.  McCluster said his performance last week reminded him of a scene in a movie in which time slows down.

3.  Tailback Brandon Bolden is also playing well for the Rebels right now.

4.  With all the talk of “The Blind Side,” this writer reminds folks that Michael Oher almost when to LSU, not Ole Miss.

5.  The Outback Bowl is still hoping to land LSU.

6.  In basketball news, a knee injury to Alex Farrer was more serious than initially thought and the fifth-year senior will be out for the season.

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1.  Quarterback Mackenzi Adams said Monte Kiffin’s current defense “is pretty much completely different” from the John Chavis defenses of previous years.

2.  As we told you during the SEC coaches’ teleconference, Bobby Johnson said of Tennessee: “They play extremely hard.  They play with a lot of pride, and I think that’s a huge step up from last year in general attitude.”

3.  Tomorrow’s game will feature a number of players from Tennessee’s Smyrna High School.

4.  Vandy’s lineup isn’t even close to the one that started the Commodores’ season opener.

5.  In basketball news, whne AJ Ogilvy takes on St. Mary’s tonight, he’ll know the school and its personnel.

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1.  You know you’re not deep when walk-ons are having to step up on gameday.

2.  Tennessee’s leaky kick coverage will be challenged by Vandy’s Warren Norman.

3.  Eric Berry is one of five finalists for the Nagursky Trophy.

4.  According to this notes column, Lane Kiffin had Daniel Lincoln kicking over tackling dummies yesterday… and the results were mixed.

5.  Rico McCoy summed up the feelings of Tennessee’s senior class when he said, “It ain’t been pretty, but it’s been real.”  In fact, this has been UT’s losingest senior class since 1980.

6.  In basketball news, Tyler Smith is guaranteeing a championship in this weekend’s Paradise Jam tournament in the Virgin Islands.

7.  Bruce Pearl is plenty happy to have landed one of the nation’s top players in Tobias Harris.

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1.  Tyson Lee has had a bad year and has dealt with a lot of criticism because of it.  But you wouldn’t know it from talking to him.

2.  Athletic director Greg Byrne says the State team (and recruits on hand) loved the Dogs’ black jerseys last week.

(Question — If EVERYONE wears black jerseys are black jerseys really all that special?  I’m about all blacked out on the jersey front.)

3.  In basketball news, Jarvis Varnado’s 20 points helped the Bulldogs whip Southeastern Louisiana 82-67 last night.

4.  Varnado is now just three blocks away from Shaquille O’Neal’s SEC record.

5.  While Renardo Sidney’s attorney blusters, the NCAA says all of the documents they’ve requested have still not been received.

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The “Mississippi White Knights of the Ku Klux Klan” will be in Oxford tomorrow to protest the University of Mississippi’s chancellor’s decision to dump the song, “From Dixie With Love.”

As you well know, the chancellor had asked UM students/fans to stop chanting “The South shall rise again” at the end of the song.  They wouldn’t.  So he recently dropped the song which had been played at Ole Miss games for about 20 years.

According to chancellor Dan Jones, the statement “The South shall rise again” supports “those outside our community who would advocate a revival of segregation.”

KKK members, of course, say that the statement means no such thing.  (Even though it was recently painted on the door of a black church that was vandalized in Mississippi.)

They claim that this is a free speech issue.  They also prove that their collective IQ leaves much to be desired.  Below are a couple of the comments from Shane Tate, the man helping to put tomorrow’s rally together:

“Ole Miss should embrace its Southern heritage and culture and reject the liberal Communist revolution that is taking place.”

“We aren’t coming there to cause problems or cause trouble.  Trouble has already been caused by a handful at Ole Miss, including the black student body president, who wants to shape Ole Miss into yet another liberal sodomite college.”

Liberals, communists, black and sodomites, huh?

Yep, I’m sure this guy actually WENT to Ole Miss.  Sounds like he’s got him a damn fine edukation indeed.



The fact that this is getting national coverage will no doubt be a hindrance to recruiting at Ole Miss.  Do you think rival coaches won’t remind players and their parents about this type of nonsense going on in Oxford?

Good luck to Houston Nutt and Andy Kennedy in having to explain why the state of Mississippi is still at the forefront of America’s race debate.  Why Mississippi — thanks to Tate and his Ku Klux Klods — is still the one place in the country where folks can go to a football game and actually see a Klan rally break out.

It’s all pathetic.  So here’s hoping Saturday’s KKK show (which might draw 100 people) goes a little something like this:



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1.  After escaping what could have been a serious car accident this summer, Dexter McCluster is just glad to be playing football… wherever Houston Nutt wants to play him.

2.  Defensive tackle Jerrell Powe says he’s “got something to prove” against LSU and some Tiger coaches who supposedly said some less-than-flattering things about him last year.

3.  Ole Miss continues to get good publicity from “The Blind Side.”  (By the way, this is the best behind-the-scenes write-up of the movie I’ve seen.)

4.  The publicity won’t be so positive when the Ku Klux Klan demonstrates in Oxford this weekend. 

Backwards, scared, sad, despicable human beings.  What a boon for recruiting it will be for Ole Miss… to have these yahoos from another era slither out onto the UM campus in full robes. 

5.  In basketball news, Indiana jumped out early, but Ole Miss was simply too much for the Hoosiers in yesterday’s 89-71 rout.

6.  Murphy Holloway — who tallied 26 points and nine rebounds — said of UM’s slow start, “We knew we were a better team than what we were playing like, so we came to the sideline and regrouped.”

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1.  Safety Mark Barron says, “A lot of quarterbacks at this level don’t really look off.  Some of them stare receivers down.  Most of the time, they’ll tell you where they’re going with the ball.”

2.  We’ll find out tomorrow if Chattanooga’s BJ Coleman looks defenders off.  He was an SEC quarterback at Tennessee before transferring.

3.  Tomorrow will be the final home game for an important senior class in Alabama history.

4.  There’s still no word on when, or if, Terry Grant will return to the playing team.

5.  Terrence Cody is a finalist for the Nagurski Trophy.

6.  Rolando McClain is a finalist for the Butkus Award.

7.  Folks are still talking about Nick Saban and “The Blind Side.”

8.  Finally, here’s a quick preview of tonight’s Alabama-Providence basketball game.

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1.  Gene Chizik says that any new developments in the lawsuit against running back Eric Smith will be dealt with “the right way.”

2.  Smith is being sued by someone he allegedly assaulted in August.  The lawsuit suggests two other unnamed Tigers were involved in the crime.

3.  Linebacker Eltoro Freeman has missed two straight days of practice.

4.  In basketball news, Auburn struggles when Tay Waller doesn’t play… and he might not play tonight against Central Florida.

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1.  The Gators’ game with Florida International should give some young players a chance to shine.

2.  According to this injury report, Emmanuel Moody won’t play against FIU tomorrow.

3.  This writer — along with 99.9% of America — expects the Gators to roll on Saturday.

4.  Tim Tebow still has a shot at the Heisman because his least productive season “has coincided with the worst Heisman Trophy race in a quarter-century.”

5.  After the season, will defensive coordinator Charlie Strong finally get a head coaching opportunity?

6.  In basketball news, Billy Donovan wants to see some improved outside shooting tonight against Troy.

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We start in Georgia where fans are mourning the death of 4-year-old UGA VII.

Fans outside of Athens, get ready to watch a strange play unfold.  I am an animal lover myself, but even I was amazed by the funeral services, memorials, and hysteria tied to UGA VI’s death two years ago. 

Believe me, I’ll be linking to stories about this dog — and his replacement — for days to come.

Matter of fact, let’s start with UGA VII:

1.  It looks like the English bulldog “succumbed to heart problems.”

2.  Mark Richt said, “I was sad to hear about UGA VII.  You never think something like that can happen that quickly, and I’m sad we won’t have him on the sideline anymore.”

3.  Mark Bradley of The AJC understands the sense of loss felt by fans.

4.  There will be a fill-in mascot for the final two games of the season, but this weekend against Kentucky, Georgia will have no bulldog on the sideline.

Now, on to sports news:

5.  Rich Brooks says that if UK is going to “have any chance against Georgia” the Cats will have to throw the ball more.

6.  Richt says the Bulldogs have prepared all week for Randall Cobb.

7.  Center Ben Jones has become a vocal leader for the Dawgs.

8.  AJ Green has had such a great year that he could miss Georgia’s final two regular season games and STILL lead the SEC in catches and receiving yards per game.

9.  Week after week it seems that Georgia has to dig out of an early hole.

10.  Here’s a quick preview of tomorrow’s UGA-UK game.

11.  Georgia will lose a lot of defensive linemen this year, but they’ll return many O-linemen.  Might there be some position switches coming next spring?

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SI.com asked college football fans across the nation to weigh in on a number of topics in a recent survey.  The fans responded.

Not surprisingly, the SEC ranked #1 in terms of the best conference in the land.  The rest of the overall results are interesting — for example, most fans say they follow recruiting either “casually” or “not at all.”

The answers of SEC fans have also been broken down.  Some of those results are as follows:


1.  What is your biggest conference rival? 

23.5% said Alabama, 17.5% said Georgia, and 17.4% said Florida.  On the other end of the spectrum, more fans consider Vanderbilt to be a rival of their team than either Kentucky or South Carolina.


2.  What is your favorite stadium to visit in your team’s conference?

24.8% said Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, followed by Sanford Stadium in Athens, Neyland Stadium in Knoxville and The Swamp.  (Sounds to me like a lot of fans voted for their own home stadium ’cause most folks do NOT want to go to Tiger Stadium or The Swamp.)


3.  Which school has the rudest fans for visitors?

LSU fans got 32.2% of the vote.  Florida was next at just 19.2% followed by Tennessee, Alabama and Georgia.


4.  Which school has the most polite fans for visitors?

Vandy fans got the nod at 37.4% followed by Ole Miss, Kentucky and Georgia fans.  (So Dawg fans are both rude AND polite?)

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1.  Houston Nutt said his team didn’t run any new plays against Tennessee last week, they just executed better… and they’ll need to again versus LSU.

2.  Kent Austin said the Tigers’ defense is the best UM has seen since Alabama.

3.  Nutt isn’t sure what he’ll get from banged-up linebackers Patrick Trahan and DT Shackleford on Saturday.

4.  The Rebel D will be trying to get to sack-prone LSU quarterback Jordan Jefferson.

5.  In basketball news, the Rebels will face Indiana this afternoon in Puerto Rico.

6.  It’s a big game for a team looking to boost its RPI.

7.  And one for the old-timers… 40 years after the “Mule Game,” Archie Manning and Tennessee’s Steve Kiner got together in Oxford last Saturday. 

Kiner said that it was just his second visit to the Magnolia State and the combined score was now Ole Miss 80, Tennessee 17.  Manning says Kiner has vowed never to return.

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1.  Linebacker Jamar Chaney says the Bulldogs aren’t giving up on their bowl hopes.

2.  Chad Bumphis and Leon Berry have been adding special teams excitement to MSU games.

3.  Anthony Dixon has a good shot at breaking State’s single-season rushing record.

4.  Chris Relf says he’s still working on his passing skills in hopes of becoming the dual-threat quarterback Dan Mullen wants.  (And State needs.)

5.  In basketball news, Rick Stansbury won’t have a very long bench when Southeastern Louisiana visits tonight.

6.  Also, the NCAA has changed the status of Renardo Sidney’s amateurism inquiry to “under review.”  Sidney’s attorney doesn’t think that means very much.  “He has been presumed guilty, denied eligibility with no evidence of NCAA violations.”

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We’ve still got the Mississippi schools to cover in our team notes, but first, here are some columns and blurbs from across the league:

1.  It’s sad that some Georgia fans turn the UGA campus into a trash dump for each home game.

2.  Travis Haney of The Charleston Post & Courier writes that Tim Tebow isn’t deserving of the Heisman in his weekly weekend preview column.

3.  It says a lot about the depth of the SEC that the league should be able to fill all 10 of its bowl slots this year.

4.  According to this SEC notes column, this year marks the first time Florida has logged a perfect conference record since their 1996 national championship season.

5.  This by-the-numbers SEC column reveals that Urban Meyer has passed Tennessee’s Robert Neyland as the leader in all-time conference winning percentage (for coaches with more than five years experience).  Meyer has won 80% of his league games… Neyland won 78.7%.

I guess it’s safe to say his spread offense has worked, no?

6.  The Music City Bowl thinks it will likely land either Georgia, Auburn or Tennessee from the SEC and either Miami, Florida State or North Carolina from the ACC.

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Just a quick note for a few of you who are getting way too bent out of shape over the statistics we post on this site.

I like to post numbers you might not find elsewhere.  We use the Yards Per Pass Attempt stat a lot because many math-geek football fans believe it’s a good gauge of an offense’s overall success.

We use our own offensive and defensive efficiency ratings to show you which SEC schools are the best at scoring points and the worst at allowing points.  Yards don’t go on the scoreboard, points do… which is why we like these stats.

We track the number of plays an offense typically runs between turnovers.  Flip it and we use the same technique to show you which defenses are the best at forcing turnovers.

And sometimes we just like to have a little fun.  Our “Fife Factor” ratings are a goofy little attempt to show which teams tend to shoot themselves in the foot with turnovers, penalties and sacks.

It’s for your enjoyment. 

But sadly, a few of you get angry over the numbers.



So here’s how you can tell if you’re taking some of our more off-the-wall stats too seriously:


* If you take the time to send me an email about how I’m “cheating” your favorite team… you’re taking these stats too seriously.

* If you use the word “numerator” in a post on our messageboard… you’re taking these stats too seriously.

* If you get angry when you look at one of our rankings… you’re taking these stats too seriously.



We’re not launching a rocket to the moon around here, we’re just trying to give you some outside-the-box, interesting, fun, oddball ways to look at the SEC’s football teams.

But for those of you who are mathematically inclined, I’m more than willing to let you put your money where my emailbox is.  I’m good with free labor.

If you’d like to doctor up your own digits, feel free to send them to me in a spreadsheet.  As long as I can verify the numbers — and I think the breakdown is interesting and unique — I’ll post it.

As for the vast majority of you who seem to like our stat analysis pieces… many thanks and we’ll be sure to keep them coming.



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1.  Mark Richt says some games are “shake-your-hand games” and some games are “hug games.”  Auburn was a hug game.

2.  Freshman tight end Orson Charles has become Georgia’s third-leading receiver.

3.  Mike Bobo says his current offensive line has “been very consistent on assignments.”

4.  Junior safety Reshad Jones will seek an evaluation from the NFL of his draft stock.

5.  Jones said he’s currently “50-50″ on leaving school early.

6.  Richt says Kentucky’s Randall Cobb “might be the most talented player in the Southeastern Conference today.”

7.  Richt has told his team that a win over Kentucky might land the Dawgs in Tampa… and a loss could land them in Shreveport.

(Sidenote — The city of Shreveport must like the cash it brings in from the Independence Bowl, because every year the city becomes the town that no one wants to visit for the holidays.  Seriously.  Does the bad pub not cancel out the cash?  That game must mean more for the local economy than most folks think.)

8.  Finally, Israel Troupe wasn’t even supposed to be on the field when he scored on a 50-yard touchdown pass against Auburn.

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1.  Kentucky hasn’t won at Georgia since 1977, but the Dawgs won’t have AJ Green and the Cats are 6-7 in their last 13 SEC road games.

That’s yet another reason for fans to get off Rich Brooks’ back.

2.  Georgia hasn’t put up a lot of yards this year, but “Georgia’s still Georgia.”

3.  And Kentucky could possibly be without Randall Cobb.

4.  Linebacker Sam Maxwell has gone from backup to star.

5.  On the basketball front, it sounds like John Calipari is growing tired of his team’s play.  “Our execution stinks right now.  It stinks because everybody’s trying to get theirs.”

6.  Outside-shooter Darnell Dodson is in Calipari’s doghouse.

7.  Meanwhile, Darius Miller seems to be a good fit for UK’s new dribble-drive offense.

8.  At least one Sam Houston State player is looking forward to facing Kentucky tonight.

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1.  Adding final injury to insult (and yes, that’s how I mean it), cornerback Myron Lewis has suffered a torn meniscus in his knee and will be out for the Tennessee game.  (Linebacker Patrick Benoist might not play, either.)

What an unbelievable run of injuries for the Commodores this year.

2.  If Vandy can slow Tennessee’s run game, they’ll then blitz away at Jonathan Crompton.

3.  This writer believes Vandy can beat UT if their offense finds a way to move the ball and if the Vols turn in “another no-show by the Tennessee D.”

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1.  During their bye week, Auburn’s coaches are working on the team’s undisciplined mistakes.

2.  Penalties have become a big pain for the Tigers as the season has worn on.

3.  Auburn’s defense has given up more points than any previous Tiger team.

4.  Folks are still talking about the fact Gene Chizik was going to go for two if Auburn had scored late at Georgia… rather than kicking the extra point and playing for overtime.

5.  In case you’re wondering, Chizik’s favorite Iron Bowl was his first.

6.  In basketball news, juco transfer Kenny Gabriel will be out “for a while” after undergoing hernia surgery yesterday.

7.  Jeff Lebo has inked six players during the early signing period and the class is drawing national praise.

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